WOW, RealClearPolitics has the map at 306 to 160 this morning. Take a look

[WA98296]

Here:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/obama_vs_mccain/?map=5

[unpossibles]

1. Interesting, for sure. I don't really care for the EC much, and find it out-dated...

Interesting, for sure. I don't really care for the EC much, and find it out-dated, but am pretty interested in the strategic situations it creates.

This is also interesting: according to the state-by-state breakdown chart, with the exception of Massachusetts, Obama has a HUGE lead over the support Kerry had last cycle in the same states. HUGE. Like, Kerry had PA at 2.5 compared to Obama's 10.5, and is even doing better in some traditional red states which went to Bush previously. Similarly, McCain has lower standings in every state Bush carried except AZ, AK, and LA.

I'm not sure how McCain thinks he can pull this off. At all, really. Maybe that's why he's so busy flinging so much crap and hoping something sticks.

[auburngrad82]

2. When you factor in Barr and Nader Obama goes from 7.4 to 9.3 in the polls

Goes from 7.4 point average lead to 9.3 average lead over McCain. This has to be the first time in a long time when third party candidates actually hurt the GOP.

[MindMatter]

3. And that is without Florida

The big move there is Ohio. But given what happened in 2004, I don't see any reason to be optimistic about Ohio. The Diebold factor is heavily entrenched here.