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Is there a site that breaks down major polls showing the recent histoic accuracy of each?

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Skip Intro Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-26-08 12:10 AM
Original message
Is there a site that breaks down major polls showing the recent histoic accuracy of each?
Edited on Sun Oct-26-08 12:10 AM by Skip Intro
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Bicoastal Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-26-08 12:10 AM
Response to Original message
1. 538.com
Go there now--Nate Silver ROCKS!
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Supply Side Jesus Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-26-08 12:11 AM
Response to Original message
2. All hail 538.com!!
Badass site!
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DemzRock Donating Member (824 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-26-08 12:12 AM
Response to Original message
3. I think you mean....
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Clio the Leo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-26-08 12:22 AM
Response to Original message
4. Best part from today's analysis.....
Edited on Sun Oct-26-08 12:23 AM by Clio the Leo
"It will be very difficult for Obama to win more than about 397 electoral votes,"

awwww! poor him! lol Just CANT get that Regan 1984 monkey off of his back! Better luck next time kid! :)

But then there's also...

"Obama would have to win West Virginia to break the 400 barrier, and I don't see that happening; the other long shot is Arizona, which hasn't been polled in some time."


What if Arizona has flipped on McCain and and no one realizes it? If a tree falls in the forest.....

And in the words of my favorite poet, Shel Silverstein, "Anything can happen child, ANYTHING can be!"

http://ajpr2.blogspot.com/2007/02/listen-to-mustnts.html
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Skip Intro Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-26-08 01:01 AM
Response to Reply #4
8. I love that
"Anything can happen child, ANYTHING can be!"

I need to check out that poet.

It would rock if AZ flipped, although, I'd kinda feel bad for mccain of that happened.

I'd much rather see GA flip. That would effn' rock.

Nor that I don't want to see AZ go blue.

The fact that we're even talking about these states, and VA, and NC just blows my mind.
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Trajan Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-26-08 12:23 AM
Response to Original message
5. Remember that the only comparison that matters
Is the final poll values just before the election, compared to the election itself ...

Nuff said ...
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Trajan Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-26-08 12:35 AM
Response to Original message
6. Here is one analysis of 2004 ...
It seems to be legitimate science ....

http://poq.oxfordjournals.org/cgi/reprint/69/5/642

Good Luck ...

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bluedawg12 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-26-08 12:41 AM
Response to Original message
7. Try Real Clear Politics
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/polls/

You can go back to at least 2004, perhaps beyond.
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