"If anything, Obama's position today is slightly better than it was in early October" (Pollster.com)

[jefferson_dem]

October 27, 2008
Morning Status Update for Monday 10/27

By Mark Blumenthal

All of the speculation about polls this week will center around two: Are we seeing any meaningful trends in the margins by which Barack Obama leads John McCain and which poll is coming closest to measuring the level of Obama's lead?The question of accuracy of the size of Obama's margin is difficult for us resolve with certainty, but since pollsters generally keep their methodology consistent from poll to poll, our ability to check for trends is very strong. Trends are what I concentrate on in these morning summaries, and for the last two weeks we have seen little evidence of an erosion in Barack Obama's lead. If anything Obama's position today -- in both the national and state level surveys -- is slightly better today than it was in early October.

While the polls we logged yesterday and over the weekend are relatively few in number (as compared to the coming flood for the rest of this week), today's summary is no exception. The changes indicate mostly random fluctuation in the battleground states, although we do see changes in status in two states -- Georgia and Arizona -- that few would have considered "battlegrounds" in any sense until very recently.

Here is a list of new polls logged yesterday (see yesterday's update for the Saturday releases):



The highlights:

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http://www.pollster.com/blogs/untitled_8.php