Bleacher Creature
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Tue Oct-28-08 02:50 PM
Original message |
PA Rasmussen Poll: O53/M46 |
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So says a poster at OpenLeft.
A seven point lead in PA with Obama at 53% on 10/28. I'll take that every day of the week and twice on Sunday. Awesome number.
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WI_DEM
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Tue Oct-28-08 02:51 PM
Response to Original message |
1. So that was the big news Ras was talking about on FAUX this morning! |
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Edited on Tue Oct-28-08 02:52 PM by WI_DEM
Obama is just 7-points ahead. The main point is that Obama is at 53%
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Drunken Irishman
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Tue Oct-28-08 02:52 PM
Response to Reply #1 |
2. Is that what he said? What was he saying? |
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JUST 7-points ahead? That's a blowout, folks!
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WI_DEM
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Tue Oct-28-08 02:58 PM
Response to Reply #2 |
19. No, he told them that there was a poll showing tightening of the race but it sounded |
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like it was going to be very close, rather than a seven-point lead with O at 53%
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Alhena
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Tue Oct-28-08 02:53 PM
Response to Reply #1 |
10. I'm concerned with how the final undecided 1% will break |
DrToast
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Tue Oct-28-08 03:06 PM
Response to Reply #10 |
Bleacher Creature
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Tue Oct-28-08 02:54 PM
Response to Reply #1 |
11. Apparently he was highlighting the fact that it was 54/41 two weeks ago. |
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Obama wasn't going to win PA by 13 points anyway, and almost all of the movement appears to be McCain shoring up his side.
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Deep13
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Tue Oct-28-08 02:57 PM
Response to Reply #1 |
15. A miss is as good as a mile. |
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If 53% have made up their minds for that one, it's over.
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Jersey Devil
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Tue Oct-28-08 02:58 PM
Response to Reply #1 |
18. All he did was bring the poll in line with most others |
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My bet is that he wanted a splash in the media so he pushed very hard to get some changes and that resulted in the McCain increase.
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WI_DEM
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Tue Oct-28-08 03:02 PM
Response to Reply #18 |
22. No actually other polls show Obama doing even better in PA |
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The respected Muhlenberg College tracking poll has Obama still up by 12 (he's led in this poll by double digits for weeks) and SUSA has Obama up by 12 in their most recent poll.
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Jersey Devil
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Tue Oct-28-08 03:05 PM
Response to Reply #22 |
28. the 53 number is what I really care about |
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Obama had 54 on Oct 6 and now he has 53 (probably statistical noise) so his support about 50% appears rock solid.
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hurtsolong
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Tue Oct-28-08 03:14 PM
Response to Reply #1 |
34. I agree that the main point is that Obama is a little over 50%, and |
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This little tightening in PA we can thank our very own Murtha for opening his mouth and saying that the peoples in his area are rednecks and racists! I don't understand the reason why the veterans like Murtha, Frank and Biden said such carelessly and inappropriate statements at such crucial time!
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Kahuna
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Tue Oct-28-08 04:28 PM
Response to Reply #34 |
38. I agree 100%. Welcome to DU!!!! |
Kahuna
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Tue Oct-28-08 04:28 PM
Response to Reply #34 |
39. I agree 100%. Welcome to DU!!!! |
Two Sheds
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Tue Oct-28-08 04:51 PM
Response to Reply #1 |
41. That's his good news!!! THAT'S HIS GOOD NEWS!!! |
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Edited on Tue Oct-28-08 04:52 PM by Two Sheds
Obama's lead cut in half!!! Tightening!!! Horse race!!!
Not only does Obama come out of this with a seven point lead, Rasmussen runs out of undecideds to spin with. And note, Obama doesn't lose support, McCain's is up a good bit (at the cost of having nowhere to go in this poll).
Two things happened here. Either Rasmussen is absolutely spot on...in which case the election is all but over, or he tweaked his methods to drive McCain's %age as high as he possibly could (which also drove Obama's %age up)...in which case McCain has just a tiny, tiny bit of a chance.
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nsd
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Tue Oct-28-08 02:52 PM
Response to Original message |
3. Obama at 53 is the important number. All is well. /nt |
jenmito
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Tue Oct-28-08 02:52 PM
Response to Original message |
4. Obama at 53% is GREAT! If McCain had 40% that would leave 7% undecided... |
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so they'd have to go SOMEWHERE! As long as Obama is above 50%, that's the ballgame.
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iceman66
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Tue Oct-28-08 02:53 PM
Response to Original message |
5. The 53% is the important number here. |
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This is actually better than some of the earlier polls that showed Obama with a wider margin but only 51 or 52%.
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hogwyld
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Tue Oct-28-08 02:53 PM
Response to Original message |
6. 7 pts. is a little too close for comfort |
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I'd be more comfortable with a double digit lead to discourage gop shenanigans.
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Zynx
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Tue Oct-28-08 02:54 PM
Response to Reply #6 |
12. 7 points is damn good. |
hogwyld
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Tue Oct-28-08 02:55 PM
Original message |
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with the lead, but I guess after all the scars of 2000 and 2004, I want a big big lead so I can sleep before the election!
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jenmito
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Tue Oct-28-08 02:57 PM
Response to Reply #6 |
16. 7 points would only be "too close for comfort" if Obama wasn't over 50%. n/t |
Kahuna
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Tue Oct-28-08 03:05 PM
Response to Reply #16 |
27. Right!!!!! McNasty is going to inch up with undecideds. As long as we remain |
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at 50% or better we win. :bounce:
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leftynyc
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Tue Oct-28-08 03:02 PM
Response to Reply #6 |
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it doesn't matter what mclame has. You're focusing on the wrong thing.
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Kahuna
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Tue Oct-28-08 03:04 PM
Response to Reply #6 |
25. Not to me! As long as Obama gets 50% he wins. Duh. He has a nice |
HughMoran
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Tue Oct-28-08 02:53 PM
Response to Original message |
7. For a Ras poll, that's a big lead. 53% is decent. |
KingFlorez
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Tue Oct-28-08 02:53 PM
Response to Original message |
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I figured the poll wasn't going to be anything of concern.
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scheming daemons
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Tue Oct-28-08 02:53 PM
Response to Original message |
9. Obama's number is the same... McCain's went up. |
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Rasmussen's poll only shows 1% undecided.
McCain has to get that 1%, and grab more than 3% from Obama to win.
I like this poll.
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jefferson_dem
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Tue Oct-28-08 02:56 PM
Response to Reply #9 |
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How hard did Scottie boy have to shove them into making a choice?
I really like this poll too.
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Kahuna
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Tue Oct-28-08 03:32 PM
Response to Reply #14 |
37. It's a great poll. I don't know what some people are kvetching about.. |
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Obama's at 53% with only 1% undecided???? This is the best news I've seen in a while. It means that with the "undecideds" decided, Obama has a huge advantage. :woohoo:
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Jersey Devil
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Tue Oct-28-08 02:55 PM
Response to Original message |
13. That leaves only 1% undecided |
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I'm guessing Rasmussen must have pushed hard to come up with only 1% undecided. Their last poll was Oct 6 and it was Obama 54 - McScrooge 41
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hogwyld
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Tue Oct-28-08 02:57 PM
Response to Original message |
17. So, does this mean Chuck Todd |
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will move PA from the strong Obama to toss up?
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nsd
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Tue Oct-28-08 02:59 PM
Response to Reply #17 |
20. He only has it as "lean Obama" now. Probably stay put. |
leftynyc
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Tue Oct-28-08 03:00 PM
Response to Original message |
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THAT was supposed to freak us out??!!! That's hilarious.
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dennis4868
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Tue Oct-28-08 03:03 PM
Response to Original message |
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this is only one state poll...other polls give Obama a bigger lead...Rassmussen has to go on FOX from time to time and probably needs to bring with him some good news for the repubs....but seriously, 7 points ahead just 6 days out from the election is very good...
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kwolf68
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Tue Oct-28-08 03:04 PM
Response to Original message |
26. How on earth could this be construed as good news for |
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McCain and his cheering section over at Faux?
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Bleacher Creature
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Tue Oct-28-08 03:07 PM
Response to Reply #26 |
32. Easy -- compared to all of the other news about McCain this week, this is golden!! |
dennis4868
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Tue Oct-28-08 03:08 PM
Response to Reply #26 |
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will say how McCain cut the lead in 1/2 in a very short period of time and he has all the momentum in the state and there is still is time for McCain to take the state which he needs to win in order to win the WH....Of course FOX will not quote the other PA state polls that give Obama and bigger lead.
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sarahdemva
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Tue Oct-28-08 03:06 PM
Response to Original message |
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please lets stop with the negative poll news. has rasmussen gotten closer nationally?
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mvd
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Tue Oct-28-08 03:07 PM
Response to Reply #29 |
31. No, stayed the same nationally |
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This poll isn't bad.. fewer undecideds is all with only 1% left. Obama wins in this scenario.
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Jennicut
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Tue Oct-28-08 03:20 PM
Response to Reply #29 |
35. Are you a concern troll or what? All day long with the "negative polls"? |
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I wouldn't normally call people out but it only a few days until the election. Please try posting something positive for a change.
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scheming daemons
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Tue Oct-28-08 03:30 PM
Response to Reply #35 |
36. Only 2 weeks old account.... trust, but verify |
DCBob
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Tue Oct-28-08 04:31 PM
Response to Original message |
40. This is great news! If Obama stays above 50% McLoser can't win. |
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McCain has dumped a ton of money and time into PA and could not even put a dent in Obama's numbers.
:bounce:
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Schulzz
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Tue Oct-28-08 04:52 PM
Response to Original message |
42. Even Rasmussen admits, it's not because Obama loses support in PA. |
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It's because McCain has picked up some undecideds...
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Two Sheds
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Tue Oct-28-08 05:09 PM
Response to Reply #42 |
45. that sounds like a lot of what we said here... |
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if you're undecided, you're lying.
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InAbLuEsTaTe
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Tue Oct-28-08 04:57 PM
Response to Original message |
43. If McAngry can't win PA, it's over! Obama has lots of "outs" as they say in poker if he loses PA. |
EastTennesseeDem
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Tue Oct-28-08 04:59 PM
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44. I just don't see losing PA as a possibility |
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Really. And this is not complacency, but almost every battleground state has magnetized our way since 2004. Pennsylvania is a Democratic state. It might be close and divided, but I really do not see McCain as having more than a 10 percent chance at it.
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Smuckies
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Tue Oct-28-08 05:11 PM
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46. Hmmm - A little close for my liking, but I still believe we will win PA by 20+ points. |
DailyGrind51
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Tue Oct-28-08 05:15 PM
Response to Original message |
47. Rasmussen is usually "dead on" accurate, too! |
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