thesubstanceofdreams
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Thu Oct-30-08 01:17 PM
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What has to be the margin of victory for the media to declare it a landslide? |
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Edited on Thu Oct-30-08 01:17 PM by thesubstanceofdreams
Given that the last two elections were so close, that no democrat has topped 50% in a long time and that the country is so highly polarized, I would say anything north of 53% of the vote for Obama and/or 360 EVs should be considered a landslide. I know Clinton or Reagan won the EC by a lot more, but those were different times. But how large the margin should be so that the narrative is that it was a landslide?
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billyoc
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Thu Oct-30-08 01:18 PM
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1. Florida to Obama and they call it at 8 pm |
Uben
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Thu Oct-30-08 01:18 PM
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Lerkfish
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Thu Oct-30-08 01:21 PM
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3. bush called slightly less than 1% a "mandate" |
BattyDem
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Thu Oct-30-08 01:21 PM
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.5% required for a McCain landslide 95% required for an Obama landslide
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ComtesseDeSpair
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Thu Oct-30-08 01:22 PM
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If McCain wins by 10 electoral votes, it will be a landslide, but it will take 300 electoral votes for Obama to be declared a landslide winner. That's just a guess though...
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TlalocW
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Thu Oct-30-08 01:25 PM
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6. Depends if you're republican or democrat |
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A win of 537 votes over your opponent in one state while losing the rest of the popular vote gives you a mandate if you're republican.
Obama will have to get everyone in America to vote for him to even have the election be called decisive.
TlalocW
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Nicholas D Wolfwood
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Thu Oct-30-08 01:35 PM
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7. I'd say +5-7% and/or +85-100 EVs |
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Just a guess for me -- honestly, they play by arbitrary rules based on what gets the most ratings.
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onenote
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Thu Oct-30-08 01:42 PM
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10. I just don't see 52/47 as a "landslide" |
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But I think as little as a 62 vote margin in the electoral college could be considered a landslide (e.g., 300/238)
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Nicholas D Wolfwood
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Thu Oct-30-08 01:45 PM
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11. Like I said, "and/or" |
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You're right - I don't think 5% would be landslide alone, but paired with a 100+ EV edge it could easily be considered one. Likewise, a 70 EV win wouldn't be that huge, unless it came with a wider national margin. Just my opinions though, and I could be wrong.
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Moloch
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Thu Oct-30-08 01:36 PM
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8. 273 Electoral Votes is a landslide in a repub wins... |
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Obama will have to get over 400 for the media to call it a landslide.
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onenote
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Thu Oct-30-08 01:40 PM
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9. I think a ten percent margin (55/45) is generally viewed as a "landslide" in popular vote |
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I think a case can be made that anything from 300 and up is a landslide in electoral college terms.
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kick-ass-bob
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Thu Oct-30-08 01:49 PM
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12. They called landslide for Clinton in 92. |
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What were the numbers? I think he had about 340 EVs.
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thesubstanceofdreams
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Thu Oct-30-08 01:52 PM
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13. 1992 EC: Clinton 370-168 n/t |
ailsagirl
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Thu Oct-30-08 01:53 PM
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kick-ass-bob
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Thu Oct-30-08 01:58 PM
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David__77
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Thu Oct-30-08 02:09 PM
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