dennis4868
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Wed Sep-08-04 10:07 AM
Original message |
FROM A BLOGGER ON FRANKEN'S WEBSITE..... |
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THE NON-BOUNCE BOUNCE
The sturdy, reliable Gallup Poll has released some numbers--and it turns out that the Bush bounce was a myth. Ruy Texiera writes:
I think those of us who have expressed skepticism about the results of the Time and Newsweek polls can consider ourselves vindicated. The new Gallup poll, conducted entirely after the GOP convention and therefore the first poll that truly measures Bush's bounce, shows Bush with a very modest bounce indeed: 2 points, whether you look at RVs or LVs. His support among RVs has risen from 47 percent before to 49 percent after the convention, so that he now leads Kerry by a single point (49-48) rather than trailing by a point.
What's more,
Note also that Bush's 2 point bounce from his convention (which, remember, is defined as the change in a candidate's level of support, not in margin) is the worst ever received by an incumbent president, regardless of party, and the worst ever received by a Republican candidate, whether incumbent or not (see this Gallup analysis for all the relevant historical data). In 2000, Bush received an 8 point bounce. And even his hapless father received a 5 point bounce in 1992.
And not only that!
Prior to the Republican convention, Kerry had a one point lead among RVs (47-46) in the battleground states. After the Republican convention, now that battleground voters have had a chance to take a closer look at what Bush and his party really stand for, Kerry leads by 5 in these same states (50-45)! Note that Kerry gained three points among battleground voters, while Bush actually got a negative one point bounce.
So, it turns out that we weren't the only ones who found the GOP convention nauseating.
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annabanana
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Wed Sep-08-04 10:10 AM
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The convention actually HURT the SOB's
(couldn't happen to a more deserving crew) :party:
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spooky3
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Wed Sep-08-04 10:12 AM
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2. I thought Gallup said there was a 7 point bounce? |
MoonRiver
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Wed Sep-08-04 10:13 AM
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4. 2 pts for RVs and 7 for LVs, I believe. |
dalfollo
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Wed Sep-08-04 10:12 AM
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3. here is poll to participate in: MSNBC |
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http://msnbc.msn.com/id/5908834/site/newsweek/a poll with several questions about the convention. enjoy.
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NewYorkerfromMass
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Wed Sep-08-04 10:16 AM
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5. Bush/Cheney are preparing for the worst |
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they know damn well they are in for a rough ride, their internals must show it. Watch out.
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cthrumatrix
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Wed Sep-08-04 10:31 AM
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6. I agree....they are in some "hot water"...scandals and truth have a way |
Stephanie
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Wed Sep-08-04 10:44 AM
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7. Thanks Zell! Thanks Dick! |
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Thanks Pataki and Junior!
I knew America wouldn't go for that hate speech.
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DU
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Sun May 05th 2024, 10:47 PM
Response to Original message |