Democratic Underground Latest Greatest Lobby Journals Search Options Help Login
Google

FROM A BLOGGER ON FRANKEN'S WEBSITE.....

Printer-friendly format Printer-friendly format
Printer-friendly format Email this thread to a friend
Printer-friendly format Bookmark this thread
This topic is archived.
Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU
 
dennis4868 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-08-04 10:07 AM
Original message
FROM A BLOGGER ON FRANKEN'S WEBSITE.....
THE NON-BOUNCE BOUNCE

The sturdy, reliable Gallup Poll has released some numbers--and it turns out that the Bush bounce was a myth. Ruy Texiera writes:

I think those of us who have expressed skepticism about the results of the Time and Newsweek polls can consider ourselves vindicated. The new Gallup poll, conducted entirely after the GOP convention and therefore the first poll that truly measures Bush's bounce, shows Bush with a very modest bounce indeed: 2 points, whether you look at RVs or LVs. His support among RVs has risen from 47 percent before to 49 percent after the convention, so that he now leads Kerry by a single point (49-48) rather than trailing by a point.

What's more,

Note also that Bush's 2 point bounce from his convention (which, remember, is defined as the change in a candidate's level of support, not in margin) is the worst ever received by an incumbent president, regardless of party, and the worst ever received by a Republican candidate, whether incumbent or not (see this Gallup analysis for all the relevant historical data). In 2000, Bush received an 8 point bounce. And even his hapless father received a 5 point bounce in 1992.

And not only that!

Prior to the Republican convention, Kerry had a one point lead among RVs (47-46) in the battleground states. After the Republican convention, now that battleground voters have had a chance to take a closer look at what Bush and his party really stand for, Kerry leads by 5 in these same states (50-45)! Note that Kerry gained three points among battleground voters, while Bush actually got a negative one point bounce.

So, it turns out that we weren't the only ones who found the GOP convention nauseating.

Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
annabanana Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-08-04 10:10 AM
Response to Original message
1. Fantastic.........
The convention actually HURT the SOB's

(couldn't happen to a more deserving crew)
:party:
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
spooky3 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-08-04 10:12 AM
Response to Original message
2. I thought Gallup said there was a 7 point bounce?
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
MoonRiver Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-08-04 10:13 AM
Response to Reply #2
4. 2 pts for RVs and 7 for LVs, I believe.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
dalfollo Donating Member (28 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-08-04 10:12 AM
Response to Original message
3. here is poll to participate in: MSNBC
http://msnbc.msn.com/id/5908834/site/newsweek/

a poll with several questions about the convention. enjoy.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
NewYorkerfromMass Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-08-04 10:16 AM
Response to Original message
5. Bush/Cheney are preparing for the worst
they know damn well they are in for a rough ride, their internals must show it. Watch out.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
cthrumatrix Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-08-04 10:31 AM
Response to Reply #5
6. I agree....they are in some "hot water"...scandals and truth have a way
of doing that
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
Stephanie Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-08-04 10:44 AM
Response to Original message
7. Thanks Zell! Thanks Dick!
Thanks Pataki and Junior!

I knew America wouldn't go for that hate speech.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
DU AdBot (1000+ posts) Click to send private message to this author Click to view 
this author's profile Click to add 
this author to your buddy list Click to add 
this author to your Ignore list Sun May 05th 2024, 10:47 PM
Response to Original message
Advertisements [?]
 Top

Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU

Powered by DCForum+ Version 1.1 Copyright 1997-2002 DCScripts.com
Software has been extensively modified by the DU administrators


Important Notices: By participating on this discussion board, visitors agree to abide by the rules outlined on our Rules page. Messages posted on the Democratic Underground Discussion Forums are the opinions of the individuals who post them, and do not necessarily represent the opinions of Democratic Underground, LLC.

Home  |  Discussion Forums  |  Journals |  Store  |  Donate

About DU  |  Contact Us  |  Privacy Policy

Got a message for Democratic Underground? Click here to send us a message.

© 2001 - 2011 Democratic Underground, LLC