Drudge: Tonight's Zogby poll will have Obama +7

[blitzen]

"ZOGBY SATURDAY: Republican John McCain has pulled back within the margin of error... The three-day average holds steady, but McCain outpolled Obama 48% to 47% in Friday, one day, polling."

key phrase: THE THREE-DAY AVERAGE HOLDS STEADY


As Nate Silver points out on 538.com, the Friday numbers are not even a "one-day" sample, since Zogby splits his one-days into two, and most of the latest "day's" sample was taken Thurs.

In short, Drudge is doing some hyper-cherrypicking to find what he wants to find.

[babylonsister]

1. Drudge gives me the creeps, even when it's not Halloween. nt

[Cali_Democrat]

3. awwww c'mon.......he's adorable........

[GrizzlyMan]

2. I don't see that on Drudge

[blitzen]

4. Yes, it's right there on the front page....

I'm referring to the part that says "the three-day average holds steady." If that is so, then it will be +7, since that's what the three-day average was last night.

[GrizzlyMan]

6. Ok, I see it now. I saw that part and was looking for something that said 7 pt lead

[bluestateguy]

5. That little fucking c***s***ker.

Erg! I don't know how much more of this I can take.

[demosincebirth]

8. I know what you mean.

[Quixote1818]

7. Nice catch. K and R

[blitzen]

9. Well, it's +5....so Drudge was wrong about the "holds steady"

....or he's a dumbass.

[Jersey Devil]

10. big sigh

+5 and +7 are statistically the same given the margin of error

[blitzen]

11. yeah, that's true....

if you look at the graphs for October, Obama is steady around 50, and McCain is, at his best, around 45. It's pretty safe to say that Obama has a pretty solid lead of at least 5 points.