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I Told You So Re:Zo(M)by

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DemocratSinceBirth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-01-08 12:28 AM
Original message
I Told You So Re:Zo(M)by
I told you he was a clown pollster (in chronological order):

-When he predicted Gore would win Cali by one percent in 2000...He won it by twelve...

-When he released his final (pre-election) poll at 1:00 PM EST on Election Day 2004 after he had a peek at the raw exit polls and still got it wrong...

-When he did his online push poll that suggested Hill was unelectable...We will never know but his lil push poll was contradicted by lots of other polls...
-When he predicted that Obama would win the California primary by thirteen points!!! He lost it by nine...What a flipping charlatan...


As an aside since Zo(M)by's one day poll includes many results from Thursday night and a few results from Friday afternoon his one one day results might represent one sixteenth of his sample...(This I'm not sure about)...

In toto, Zo(M)by is a clown pollster...

Go Obama...

PEACE

DSB



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MadBadger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-01-08 12:29 AM
Response to Original message
1. You forgot him predicting Obama would win California by like 12
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writes3000 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-01-08 12:31 AM
Response to Reply #1
2. Actually, it's in there, I believe.
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MadBadger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-01-08 12:32 AM
Response to Reply #2
4. So drunk right now
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DemocratSinceBirth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-01-08 12:36 AM
Response to Reply #2
8. I trust Kos/Research 2000...I'll See It This Morning...
He breaks out the one day results*...McCain hasn't won a day since the polling started a month ago...



*The MOE is five...
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DemocratSinceBirth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-01-08 12:31 AM
Response to Reply #1
3. He Drove The Odds For Hill To Win That Primary Way Down
I rarely, rarely gamble but tried to log on to intrude to bet Hill but couldn't...
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MadBadger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-01-08 12:32 AM
Response to Reply #3
5. So drunk, I shouldnt of drunkend bouted you
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DemocratSinceBirth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-01-08 12:33 AM
Response to Reply #1
6. Some Posters On 538 Are Saying His One Day Results Represent 1/16 Of A Sample
Edited on Sat Nov-01-08 12:33 AM by DemocratSinceBirth
If that's the case it's sixty or so respondents...
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high density Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-01-08 12:35 AM
Response to Original message
7. Zogby's final call in 2004 was Kerry with 311 EVs
That was enough for me to look at his polls with a great amount of skepticism.
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DemocratSinceBirth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-01-08 12:37 AM
Response to Reply #7
9. Yeah Because He Wanted To Separate Himself From The Pack
~
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tblue Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-01-08 01:04 AM
Response to Reply #7
10. Except that Kerry actually won.
Ohio blew it for him. But I take your point. Zogby is best ignored.
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Gore1FL Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-01-08 01:13 AM
Response to Original message
11. the MOE for the daily is +/ 5%
MOE = SQRT (1/Sample Size)

Nothing to see here
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