DemocratSinceBirth
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Sat Nov-01-08 12:28 AM
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I told you he was a clown pollster (in chronological order):
-When he predicted Gore would win Cali by one percent in 2000...He won it by twelve...
-When he released his final (pre-election) poll at 1:00 PM EST on Election Day 2004 after he had a peek at the raw exit polls and still got it wrong...
-When he did his online push poll that suggested Hill was unelectable...We will never know but his lil push poll was contradicted by lots of other polls... -When he predicted that Obama would win the California primary by thirteen points!!! He lost it by nine...What a flipping charlatan...
As an aside since Zo(M)by's one day poll includes many results from Thursday night and a few results from Friday afternoon his one one day results might represent one sixteenth of his sample...(This I'm not sure about)...
In toto, Zo(M)by is a clown pollster...
Go Obama...
PEACE
DSB
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MadBadger
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Sat Nov-01-08 12:29 AM
Response to Original message |
1. You forgot him predicting Obama would win California by like 12 |
writes3000
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Sat Nov-01-08 12:31 AM
Response to Reply #1 |
2. Actually, it's in there, I believe. |
MadBadger
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Sat Nov-01-08 12:32 AM
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DemocratSinceBirth
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Sat Nov-01-08 12:36 AM
Response to Reply #2 |
8. I trust Kos/Research 2000...I'll See It This Morning... |
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He breaks out the one day results*...McCain hasn't won a day since the polling started a month ago...
*The MOE is five...
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DemocratSinceBirth
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Sat Nov-01-08 12:31 AM
Response to Reply #1 |
3. He Drove The Odds For Hill To Win That Primary Way Down |
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I rarely, rarely gamble but tried to log on to intrude to bet Hill but couldn't...
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MadBadger
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Sat Nov-01-08 12:32 AM
Response to Reply #3 |
5. So drunk, I shouldnt of drunkend bouted you |
DemocratSinceBirth
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Sat Nov-01-08 12:33 AM
Response to Reply #1 |
6. Some Posters On 538 Are Saying His One Day Results Represent 1/16 Of A Sample |
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Edited on Sat Nov-01-08 12:33 AM by DemocratSinceBirth
If that's the case it's sixty or so respondents...
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high density
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Sat Nov-01-08 12:35 AM
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7. Zogby's final call in 2004 was Kerry with 311 EVs |
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That was enough for me to look at his polls with a great amount of skepticism.
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DemocratSinceBirth
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Sat Nov-01-08 12:37 AM
Response to Reply #7 |
9. Yeah Because He Wanted To Separate Himself From The Pack |
tblue
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Sat Nov-01-08 01:04 AM
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10. Except that Kerry actually won. |
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Ohio blew it for him. But I take your point. Zogby is best ignored.
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Gore1FL
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Sat Nov-01-08 01:13 AM
Response to Original message |
11. the MOE for the daily is +/ 5% |
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MOE = SQRT (1/Sample Size)
Nothing to see here
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DU
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Tue Apr 30th 2024, 02:33 PM
Response to Original message |