BzaDem
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Sat Nov-01-08 05:42 AM
Original message |
Is anyone else waiting anxiously for the Research 2000 poll to come out this morning? |
DemocratSinceBirth
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Sat Nov-01-08 05:51 AM
Response to Original message |
1. I Am Eager To See Yesterday's One Day Numbers |
BzaDem
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Sat Nov-01-08 05:51 AM
Response to Reply #1 |
DemocratSinceBirth
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Sat Nov-01-08 05:56 AM
Response to Reply #2 |
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Yesterday's numbers were 52-44
You do know ZOMBY'S infamous "one day" numbers really include two days of previous polling; a night and then the next afternoon, with the majority done on the preceding night...
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BzaDem
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Sat Nov-01-08 06:06 AM
Response to Reply #3 |
6. I don't know what Zomby's "one day" numbers really include. |
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I know that in the 3 day average, he includes some interviews after 5 pm the previous day and some the current day. But I don't know if the 48-47 was that entire period. It might have only been yesterday's part of that, or it might have been yesterday's part of that PLUS yesterday night's part, which won't be included in the average until tomorrow.
In any case, I was hoping for a huge move to Obama this weekend and Zogby's poll doesn't help that prospect. Sure, it is a one day poll, and Zogby undersamples Dems, etc, but if there is going to be a huge swing to Obama (which is what I hope), it is unlikely that a poll would so wildly swing in McCain's direction.
But hopefully R2K will prove Zogby wrong. I'll be OK if it is +5 (R2K's margin for most of the recent nights except last night). I'll be worried if its +3 or lower, and I'll be very happy if it is +7 or higher.
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AnarchoFreeThinker
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Sat Nov-01-08 05:59 AM
Response to Original message |
4. 6:58 EST guess on the one-day numbers for R2K: Obama +7 |
regnaD kciN
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Sat Nov-01-08 06:03 AM
Response to Original message |
5. Do not live or die over polls, Grasshopper... |
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Edited on Sat Nov-01-08 06:10 AM by regnaD kciN
...for relying on polls only puts you on a roller-coaster you can't control, instead of traveling a smooth path to your own destination.
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BeyondGeography
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Sat Nov-01-08 06:13 AM
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7. Polling for 10/31 was 51-45 (O -1, M +1) |
DemocratSinceBirth
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Sat Nov-01-08 06:14 AM
Response to Reply #7 |
8. We're Waitung For The One Day (Friday Only Results) In His Internals |
BeyondGeography
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Sat Nov-01-08 06:20 AM
Response to Reply #8 |
9. Looks like it will be up soon; they just posted a link for 11/1 |
BzaDem
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Sat Nov-01-08 06:26 AM
Response to Reply #9 |
10. OOO! M-1, O even in the topline 3 day average |
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Tue Apr 30th 2024, 08:38 AM
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