Rasmussen daily tracking graph for 11/1/08 - Obama 51, McCain 46 (M down 1)

[DavidDvorkin]

Look at McCain surge!










These Rasmussen graphs are all contained on one Web page at http://www.dvorkin.com/rastrack.html

Rasmussen links:
Data in tabular form
Discussion

[shotten99]

1. Zogby who?

Makes me think John was calling Democratic homes where the owners were out standing in line to vote yesterday.
What a doofus.

[DavidDvorkin]

9. How is Zogby's track record?

I remember that he was the only one to be fairly accurate in some election. 2000, maybe? I have the impression he's been riding that ever since.

[SuperTrouper]

12. Zogby's track record is HORRIBLE!

[mvd]

2. Good news.. his new PA poll has it down to 4, though

Though with Obama at 51% in the PA poll, it looks to be too little, too late for McSame.

[dennis4868]

3. do you have a link for that?

[mvd]

5. Here

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/pennsylvania/election_2008_pennsylvania_presidential_election2

Please, do not freak out, though. McCain is betting it all on PA, and I don't think there's any way we lost so much Democratic support.

[dennis4868]

8. thanks...

not freaking out at all...I am very confident about PA...kerry an gore won it and so will Obama...

[shotten99]

4. Outlier

Happens to every polling firm..kind of like Zogby today.

[mvd]

6. It likely is

Wouldn't be surprised if PA has tightened, but I don't understand the 11% drop in Democratic support. That sounds like Zogby!

[SuperTrouper]

7. Obama will win PA 52-47 (1% other)

[sarahdemva]

10. i dont agree based on rasmussen himself. let me explain

in 2004 kerry won PA by 2.5% but lost nationally by 2.5%. lets assume rasmussen is right and obama wins by 5% nationally. i feel confident in that case that obama will win PA by 8+. i remain very confident.

[SuperTrouper]

11. I hope so

[sarahdemva]

13. actually i goofed

if obama goes nationally from -2.5 in 2004 to +5 this year then he will win PA by 9.5%!!

[phrigndumass]

14. McCain's surge is manly!

Burly, ruggedy, mavericky, loserly :D

K/R :hi:

[DavidDvorkin]

15. I can't wait for his mavericky remarks on Tuesday night!

"My friends, both of you, ... "