Diageo Hotline: Obama-Biden (+3) lead McCain-Palin (+3) among likely voters, 51%-44%, 5% undecided

[Chasing Dreams]

It looks like undecideds are breaking evenly in this poll,

http://www.diageohotlinepoll.com/

[nuncvendetta]

1. why did the guy on MSNBC say that this poll showed it tied among independents?

He was just on about 15 min. ago. I can't find that crosstab anywhere in the detailed poll data. That wouldn't really make sense considering the party weights.

[Chasing Dreams]

4. I have no idea. He must have cross tabs that aren't shown on the web site.

But we can chalk up another 7 point lead in this poll today, and it is great seeing the undecideds break evenly. Put differently, McCain can't close a 7-point gap with only 5% undecided.

[tedoll78]

2. If undecideds break evenly,

this is going to be a 375+ EV rout.

[DemsUnited]

3. Any poll with Obama at 50%+ is good by me. Thanks for posting.

[DemFromMem]

5. Good day for Obama in tracking polls

Up one in Daily Kos (7)
Up one in Rasmussen (5)
Up one in ABC/Wash Post (9)
Up one in GWU/Battleground (4)
Up two/three in the two Gallup likely voter models (8 and 9)

[Robbins]

6. Hotline

Obama has broken 50 percent In their poll.This doesn't help the so called tightening memo the MSM
Is trying to send.

[HughMoran]

7. The 51% number in this poll is good news

:D

[KansasVoter]

8. > 50% and our lead above undecided! GREAT!

[abumbyanyothername]

9. Diageo is the poll that had the funky numbers on already voteds

Something like +1% for Obama. Every other poll that has reported already voteds, is reporting >+15% for Obama.

But I can't find the already voteds on any cross tab since that number was reported on MSNBC or CNN.