Chichiri
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Sat Nov-01-08 07:40 PM
Original message |
For those of you worrying about PA -- we can win without ANY of the big three swing states. |
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Edited on Sat Nov-01-08 07:41 PM by Chichiri
Give Obama CO, NV, NM, VA, IA, and all the Kerry states except PA to Obama -- these are all states in which he is polling at an average of 6 points or better above McCain.
Result: 270-268 Obama.
I personally now believe that Obama will carry all three big swing states -- but this just shows how he can win without any of them if the truly bizarre happens in Pennsylvania. We don't even need NC at this point.
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BlooInBloo
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Sat Nov-01-08 07:42 PM
Response to Original message |
1. And the odds of Obama winning NONE of the big three are close to 0. |
Chichiri
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Sat Nov-01-08 07:43 PM
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2. Precisely. We simply have too many paths to victory right now. |
JustinL
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Sat Nov-01-08 07:45 PM
Response to Original message |
3. I'm worried about PA for a different reason |
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I'm pretty sure at this point that Obama will win the overall election. I just don't want to be embarrassed by my state.
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Chichiri
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Sat Nov-01-08 07:48 PM
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6. I know how you feel. I'm rather proud of the fact . . . |
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. . . that I live in the only state to have been consistently blue during my entire lifetime. :)
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electionwatcher
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Sat Nov-01-08 07:45 PM
Response to Original message |
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I've just worked out that scenario on my interactive electoral vote map.
It demonstrates how strong a position Obama is in. I too am confident that Obama will carry Ohio, Pennsylvania and Florida.
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Terran
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Sat Nov-01-08 07:46 PM
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5. I can't imagine himn losing PA |
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Someone here said the other day the real reason McCain is barnstorming PA is because it's one of the few states where he has any kind of organized ground game; couple that with the appeal to racism (a la the B-Girl) and they actually think they can flip a 12% lead.
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BlooInBloo
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Sat Nov-01-08 07:52 PM
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7. It won't happen. Republicans talk about it, therefore DUers take it seriously.... |
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That's really all there is to it.
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Thu May 02nd 2024, 06:22 PM
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