How Obama Won
Two leading political experts on the historic election – and how it could usher in "a brand-new nation"
JANN S. WENNER
Posted Nov 27, 2008 12:00 AM
Two days after the historic election of Barack Obama, we met at the Rolling Stone offices in New York with two of America's most perceptive political observers. Peter D. Hart, known for his nonpartisan poll for NBC News and The Wall Street Journal, has conducted public-opinion research for 30 governors and 40 U.S. senators, from Hubert Humphrey to Ted Kennedy. David Gergen, director of the Center for Public Leadership at the Kennedy School at Harvard, has served in the White House as a senior adviser to presidents Nixon, Ford, Reagan and Clinton.
What was the single biggest key to Obama's victory?
PETER D. HART: The core he stimulated within the electorate — African-Americans, Latinos, young voters, first-time voters. He ran better than two-thirds in all of those groups, and 95 percent with African-Americans. He took what had been a confined electorate and changed it. In doing so, he put into play states that Democrats never thought they could win — Colorado, New Mexico, Nevada, Indiana and North Carolina, as well as Ohio and Florida.
DAVID GERGEN: The key, in my judgment, was that early on, Obama forged a strategy for victory, assembled a team around that strategy, and executed the best-organized and most brilliant campaign we've seen in American politics since John Kennedy in 1960. Essential to that strategy was the building of a new coalition. What we now see is the emergence of a possible majority that could bring dominance to the Democratic Party for some years to come. We've had a long period of Republican dominance in the country. Republicans have won seven out of the last 10 presidential elections, and they built much of that success around what was often called the Reagan coalition. Now Obama has built what could be an Obama coalition. Peter's absolutely right in identifying the millennial generation, the African-American community and Latinos as the driving forces behind this new coalition. It also includes women, suburban voters and others who have been traditional parts of the Democratic voting bloc. These, to me, are the new drivers.
http://www.rollingstone.com/politics/story/24200780/how_obama_won/