2008 Election Analysis: A Compendium of Links by TruthIsAllPopular and Electoral Vote Projections
The Election Calculator
The Election Model projected 365.3 expected electoral votes — but not the True Vote
The Election Model
Post-Election Analysis
A Conversation about the 2008 election
Landslide Denied
2008 National Exit Poll Does Not Compute
Statistical Anomalies
Matching to the 2008 Recorded Vote
Using Excel Solver to Calculate the Required Vote Mix
Obama Landslide in 3D
Election Calculator Sensitivity Analysis
Forecasting Methodology
Projecting the Electoral Vote and Win Probability
Election Model: Monte Carlo Simulation
Election Forecasting Models
Includes the following:
. Time-series regression models vs. Monte Carlo polling simulation
. Final 2004 state and national projections confirmed by the exit polls
. Analysis of 2004 registered voter (RV) and likely voter (LV) polls
. Basic Polling Mathematics
. Overview of Monte Carlo Electoral Vote Simulation
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