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Edited on Fri Jun-19-09 09:10 AM by karynnj
places that he would not have been able to without it. Without the example of 2004, Obama could not have refused public financing without paying it a far bigger political price. (In fact, Kerry was one of the most prominent people who defended him on this and he did it explaining the dilemma it caused in 2004. Even though it would have been far less a problem in 2008 - because the conventions were not 5 weeks apart.)
There are many other differences between 2004 and 2008 that affected the race. Given all the differences, it is amazing that Kerry did as well as he did in a very tough year. The most impressive thing about Obama's win was that he did far better than he had to and he won after running a classy, positive campaign, which has allowed him to win over many who voted against him.
- In 2004, in a Gallup poll the week before the election, 59% answered that the country was doing very well or fairly well. In 2008, over 80% said the country was going in the wrong direction. Both Kerry and Obama represented a big change. (Kerry is to the left of Obama on many issues) In 2004, the economy had not turned sour for the majority of people and we were only a year and a half into the war. The country was still traumatized and fearful - and those emotions work against change, especially if they do not thing the status quo intolerable. 2008 was a year where change was wanted - which is why everyone from Obama to Clinton to McCain.
- Bush as President got a huge amount of free media time. After he did a miserable job in the first debate on foreign policy, he announced he was making a major foreign policy speech and it was covered life on several channels. None of Kerry's announced major speeches - on Iraq, terrorism, the environment, health care etc were given that type of coverage --- except on CSPAN, which became my favorite channel. In 2008, Obama and McCain got reasonably equal time.
- Kerry had significantly less money to spend than Bush due to campaign finance laws. They had the same amount of money for the general election - but Kerry had to use it for 13 weeks versus Bush having to use it in 8. In the 5 weeks between the conventions, Bush could still use unlimited primary money.
- The media aided and abetted a character assassination. It was not the SBVT commercials themselves that did the damage, it was the media giving them and the liars free coverage long after they were caught in tens of lies. The fact is all of the Navy records were 100% in Kerry's favor. There was no "Kerry story" vs the SBVT, it was the official Navy records vs the liars. Yet the media never asked the liars for supporting documents or proof and they did not use the Navy records as proof. (to consider how outrageous this is imagine your employer refusing to consider the "A"s on your transcript when someone says you were a bad student - and then others claim you didn't disprove the charge.) (Obama's reaction to the Corsi book was exactly the same as Kerry's to that book - each team put out a memo within a day listing all the things provably wrong. Obama's team also added that Corsi was an author of the DISCREDITED Kerry book and gave the media the Free Republic posts the Kerry people found and gave to the media in 2004. By 2008, we had already rejected swiftboating.)
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