jezebel
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Tue Jun-23-09 12:17 PM
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Obama is back up to 60% in today's Gallup polling. That's up 3 points in one day. He must have had a |
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really bad polling day 3 days ago that dropped off that had pulled him down to 57% http://www.gallup.com/home.aspx
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jefferson_dem
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Tue Jun-23-09 12:18 PM
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1. I'll keep checking back at matt sludge's place for confirmation of a "rebound"... |
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Seriously, I like. Thanks for the update. :hi:
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Bicoastal
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Tue Jun-23-09 12:24 PM
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2. Monday's polling data was about a Sunday AND a Father's day. |
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The only people polled were probably curmudgeonly male shut-ins with no close family--and guess what side of the political spectrum those guys tend to trend toward?
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pnwmom
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Tue Jun-23-09 12:47 PM
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3. 3 points in one day is most likely within the margin of error -- so it means nothing. |
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I couldn't see from the link what the actual margin of error is, but a common M.O.E., which is based on the size of the sample, would be 3%. That means that, if a bunch of different samplings of opinion were taken from the population, that 95% of the time the results would fall within 3 percentage points of 60%. In other words, one sample might say 57%, another 60%, and another 63%, all on the same day. So the "real" approval rating from the overall population (as opposed to one particular sample) falls somewhere in the RANGE of 57 - 63% (with a confidence level of 95%).
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Jennicut
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Tue Jun-23-09 01:04 PM
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4. So much for Gallup screaming about his lowest total ever the other day. |
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