http://www.arabnews.com/?page=7§ion=0&article=51795&d=22&m=9&y=2004Why Is Kerry Losing Arab-American Support?
Dr. James Zogby, Arab News
WASHINGTON, 22September 2004 —
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The most recent Zogby poll of Arab-American voters in key battleground states shows that while John Kerry still leads George Bush, his lead has been cut almost in half. In July, for example, Arab-American voters gave Kerry a 54 to 24 point lead over the incumbent President. By September, that lead had shrunk to 49 percent for Kerry and to 31.5 percent for Bush.
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What they wanted was a challenger with a message as clear as their anger. Some are not finding that in John Kerry’s message. And so it appears that what is happening among Arab-Americans is happening among many other potential Kerry supporters around the country. And this is why the Kerry campaign’s sluggish performance among Arab-Americans can be said to send an important warning signal.
Recall that Arab-Americans gave a slight plurality of their votes to Bush in2000 . Today, almost 70 percent of Arab-Americans want a change in the White House. But if only 49 percent of Arab-Americans see Kerry as bringing the change they want, then there’s trouble ahead.
There are still six weeks to go before the election and a great deal can change. But if Kerry is to energize his base and regain lost ground, then his campaign should pay attention to all the canaries that have stopped singing.
— Dr. James J. Zogby is the president of Arab American Institute. For comments or information, contact jzogby@aaiusa.org or
http://www.aaiusa.org