Colorado Senate: Salazar (D) 53% Coors (R) 42%

[WI_DEM]

Very good news since this is a seat to replace Ben Nighthorse Campbell, a Republican.

I got this from daily kos.

http://www.dailykos.com/

Anyway, recent polls give Dems solid leads in two states which currently have GOP congressmen--Illinois (natch)and Colorado.

We are also leading by smaller margins in Alaska (Knowles) and Oklahoma (Carson).

In the southern states where several Democrats are retiring we continue to have a clear lead in North Carolina--latest poll I saw had Bowles up by 10 points. Also Castor is up by 4 points in Florida. Tennenbaum is running a couple of points behind in SC, but is closing in. The only seat which seems probable to change hands is Georgia.

So all in all, I think we are doing pretty well in the Senate races, so far.

P.S.
My "upset" prediction is that in the closing days Hoeffel will come on strong and defeat Mr. "Magic Bullet" himself, Arlen Specter.

[gmoney]

1. Sweet!

Good news about Salazar

[JohnKleeb]

2. A note about Specter

he does worse in presidential election years, he just barely won his first election in '80 and also barely won in '92, go get em Hoefel. I think Alaska could also be ours too, if Knowles keeps it up.

[Lori Price CLG]

3. Yes, but when Diebold finds out...

...it will be a whole new ballgame. The GOP will then need to tailor the polls to reflect the upcoming Colorado coup.

Lori Price
http://www.legitgov.org/

[Blue_Roses]

4. this is great news!

:bounce:

[pa28]

5. This would cancel out the loss of Edward's seat . . .

but not Kerry's. ;)

[DaveinMD]

6. Erskine Bowles

is going to win the Edwards seat, so we're not losing it.

[pa28]

7. Hope not. Fingers crossed for re-taking the Senate. n/t

[WI_DEM]

11. Dems will have a special election

it was passed over Gov. Romney's veto. I think if Kerry is elected, Dems have a good chance at winning special election.

[Mayberry Machiavelli]

8. Isn't this a bit of an indicator of the Pres race as well?

[Zynx]

9. A lot of people who will vote for Salazar might vote straight Dem.

That's because a lot will be lazy and just go straight Dem which will help Kerry.

[DaveinMD]

10. a lot

but not everyone. Where it helps Kerry, he could bring a lot of Lationo voters to the polls for the first time. These are likely to be mostly straight ticket voters.

[WI_DEM]

12. interestingly Kerry was elected in '84 to the Senate while Reagan

was winning Massachusetts. That year Gore was elected to senate in Tennessee while Reagan won the state and in Iowa Harkin won while Reagan was winning, so people do split tickets. But it is always helpful to have strong statewide candidates-especially in close elections.

[DuaneBidoux]

13. FANTASTIC!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

I was also reading something about some kind of really nasty "sexual" scandal breaking around a Repug in Oklahoma (anyone?), where they are overly concerned about such issues as opposed to say, bombing babies.

I think putting a beer magnate on the Republican ticket is kind of a dangerous move. Many of the fringe Repugs are against all alcohol. This might be causing a problem.

What do you think? Can we get the Senate back?

[paulk]

14. this poll from a Republican polling firm

which makes it even better! Kind of a low sample, though.

Salazars's ad campaign has been very good here - Coors just comes across as out of touch (which he is). All Coors talks about are more tax cuts and how they'll help the economy. Since we've had nothing but tax cuts here (going back to Owens gutting of state gov't.) and the economy is still completely in the toilet, Coors just looks stupid.

There's one Salazar ad that has Coors dressed in a tux at some high society function - really good at showing the Coor's campaign attempts at portraying their candidate as some kind of down home country boy for what they are - bullshit. Or is that horseshit...

[rockymountaindem]

15. Coors' ads are pathetic...

"Congress is bad... bad... they're lawyers and they waste your money... I'm a Republican... you won't have to pay a cent..."

Wait a minute... isn't the Congress controlled by Republicans like you?

"Um... I like my grandkids"

[joanne]

16. Very good news indeed

We must take control of the Senate.

[cheshire]

19. Just like his pissy beer as my dear old Dad would say.

[coloradodem2005]

17. So long Petie.

Another dumbass bites the dust.

[seabeyond]

18. i really want Salazar to confront coors on his ads vs family values

you dont know how many moms now wont let children watch football with fathers or even let fathers watch football because of the disgusting coors commercials. i want to know from this man who so talks family values why putting soft porn on saturday and sunday afternoon during the football games for greed meets family values

[Awsi Dooger]

20. Don't make the same mistake as 2002

Believing polls showing a decisive "against the grain" trend in a particular state. We are not ahead 11 points in a Colorado senate race, similarly any polls in Oklahoma or Alaska are likely to underestimate GOP strength just like a New York or California poll tends to underestimate Democratic numbers in senate races. Just check the Shumer and Hillary margins compared to the final polls.

In 2002, we thrilled at a chance to increase our senate majority when the battleground races were in these states: Georgia, North Carolina, Texas, New Hampshire, Colorado, Missouri, South Dakota, Tennessee, Arkansas and Minnesota. The runaway optimism looks downright silly when considering the partisan tendencies of those states. Minnesota, of course, was a tragic situation which went against the state trend that would have held up otherwise.

We won in Arkansas when the GOP incumbent imploded and we had a superior candidate with great name recognition and respect. The GOP candidates in Colorado, Oklahoma and Alaska all feature baggage to outright ineptitude, but in those states it's not necessarily fatal.

[coloradodem2005]

21. I agree.

But Salazar is well-known and well-respected on both sides. Coors does not have nearly as high a favorability as Salazar. Hopefully on election day, the people of Colorado will realize what Ken Salazar has done for them and elect him to the senate.

That being said, we cannot get too cocky. 2002 was a horrible year. Strickland looked like he was going to win and he lost. I am hoping that this does not happen to Salazar but it does worry me.