Charlie Cook sounds like an idiot right now...

[Drunken Irishman]

Saying the AP poll is an outlier because it's a bit higher than the current Gallup Poll.

Now compare the two:

Gallup today: 51-42
AP: 56-39

Is there really that big of a difference between the two? The greatest difference is within the APPROVAL. But the DISAPPROVAL is almost identical (only 3 points off).

So I don't see how the AP poll is much of an outlier. It would be, I guess, if the Gallup Poll had Obama's approval/disapproval at 50-49.

But it doesn't.

[lamp_shade]

1. Chris ended the dialogue with "I respect your opinion Charlie but I like this AP Poll.

[Drunken Irishman]

2. It's as if people believe every poll to be exactly the same...

And it just isn't going to happen.

So obviously you can say one poll is an outlier if it doesn't fit the narrative.

Gallup I trust. I think Pres. Obama's disapproval is around 35-40% - where it's been for a while now.

Oddly, that's where the AP poll has his disapproval. Now the approval in both polls might be off a bit, but it's not dramatically off.

If the AP poll had come out and had his approval rating at 65-30, then yeah, I'd say it was an outlier.

But these seem pretty damn close for two separate polls.