Has Gallup EVER shown Kerry in the lead?

[Walt Starr]

Seriously, I don't recall it happening even once to date.

[liberalpragmatist]

1. Yes. By 12 in the Spring

Which is ridiculous. Kerry never led by that much. Gallup has huge swings in their LV samples that nobody else has - it doesn't discriminate. Their RV samples are usually closer, but they always end up trumpeting the LV data over the more accurate RV data.

http://www.gallup.com/poll/content/login.aspx?ci=10687

In a hypothetical presidential contest, Massachusetts Sen. John Kerry leads President George W. Bush by 12 percentage points among likely voters, 55% to 43%, while North Carolina Sen. John Edwards leads Bush by 10 points, 54% to 44%. Among registered voters, Bush fares better, trailing Kerry by five points and Edwards by one point -- essentially a tie.