irancontra
(689 posts)
Send PM |
Profile |
Ignore
|
Fri Sep-24-04 12:10 PM
Original message |
KERRY is NOT losing ARKANSAS |
|
no matter what a dufus talking head says... just had to say it loud!
|
Claire Beth
(1000+ posts)
Send PM |
Profile |
Ignore
|
Fri Sep-24-04 12:11 PM
Response to Original message |
1. He hasn't lost Tennessee either.... |
|
I don't care what the polls are saying.
|
skooooo
(1000+ posts)
Send PM |
Profile |
Ignore
|
Fri Sep-24-04 12:11 PM
Response to Original message |
2. Do you have some anecdotes you can relay?? |
|
What makes you sure of this?
|
Iceburg
(1000+ posts)
Send PM |
Profile |
Ignore
|
Fri Sep-24-04 12:16 PM
Response to Reply #2 |
5. Zogby has them virtually tied in Arkansas |
tritsofme
(1000+ posts)
Send PM |
Profile |
Ignore
|
Fri Sep-24-04 01:06 PM
Response to Reply #5 |
9. And the Kerry campaign is suspending ad buys |
|
there for a few weeks.
That speaks more volumes to me that some Zogby Interactive poll.
|
tcfrogs
(1000+ posts)
Send PM |
Profile |
Ignore
|
Fri Sep-24-04 12:13 PM
Response to Original message |
3. I'm no expert or doofus talking head |
|
But I don't see Kerry winning Arkansas. Gore didn't really come that close, and from what I've seen of the polls, Kerry hasn't been that close either. I KNOW, they are just polls. Just a hunch.
|
Lex
(1000+ posts)
Send PM |
Profile |
Ignore
|
Fri Sep-24-04 12:14 PM
Response to Original message |
|
The pollsters we are hearing from have some fundamental flaws in their polling methods that are detrimental to Kerry, so people should STOP relying on them as being accurate!
I think their "likely voters" profile is crap.
Their failure to use only landline phones is crap.
Those are just two things--there are more.
|
oasis
(1000+ posts)
Send PM |
Profile |
Ignore
|
Fri Sep-24-04 12:39 PM
Response to Original message |
6. Keep working hard Democrats. Don't listen to the fifth column. |
irancontra
(689 posts)
Send PM |
Profile |
Ignore
|
Fri Sep-24-04 12:43 PM
Response to Original message |
7. sorry for the short post... |
|
he will win arkansas because:
1. the youth vote (bigger turnout than ever, much better numbers than *)
2. minority vote
3. the state & national polls have very weird methods of asking and/or gathering opinions... I really don't trust numbers that swing that wildly.
4. They are not polling cellphones
5. arkansas is not stupid & it is after all clinton country
6. Bush is losing with people, he is out of touch & he's pigeonholed himself to the evangelicals.
7. smart people will eventually see Kerry for the strong courageous war-hero that he is.
|
oasis
(1000+ posts)
Send PM |
Profile |
Ignore
|
Fri Sep-24-04 12:49 PM
Response to Reply #7 |
8. There are other factors involved that also make Arkansas competitive.Your |
|
Edited on Fri Sep-24-04 12:50 PM by oasis
list is a good start.
|
Jane Austin
(1000+ posts)
Send PM |
Profile |
Ignore
|
Fri Sep-24-04 01:17 PM
Response to Reply #7 |
10. 4. They are not polling cellphones |
|
You know, they're overlooking another phone group, too.
How about the huge number of new poor and newly homeless, who have NO PHONES AT ALL?
Phone service isn't cheap, and given that there are still a few pay phones around, and a neighbor may have a phone, that may be one of the first things the poor drop.
I understand there are movements to register homeless people (who are NOT all derelict drunks - many are families) and lots of other disenfranchised people.
Foreclosure rates are at an all-time high.
These citizens have more reason than most to vote against Bush.
|
DU
AdBot (1000+ posts) |
Sat May 04th 2024, 04:06 PM
Response to Original message |