Rasmussen Battleground for 9/28 (mostly good news, again)

[louis c]

Rasmussen National three day numbers show that this race is nearly dead even. For the fifth day in a row, Bush's lead stayed under 2%. Today, Bush leads Kerry 47.9% to 46.3%. That narrow lead now needs to be measured in tenths of a percent.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com

Florida, Kerry 49%-48% (the closeness of Florida is astounding, with a 1 point lead changing hands every day for 6 straight days. Todays numbers represent a 2 point Kerry gain)

Michigan, Kerry 47%-45% (Yesterday Bush came within 2 points of Kerry, which is the closest since 9/19. Today marks no change from yesterday's numbers)

Minnesota, Tie 46% (This race was added 5 days ago, and this is the fourth tie, all at 46%. Today's numbers represent a 1 point Kerry gain)

Ohio, Bush 47%-46% (This is the closest Kerry has been in Ohio in 2 weeks, and marks a 1 point Kerry gain from yesterday)

Pennsylvania, Kerry 49%-45% (This is the largest Kerry lead in Pennsylvania in over two weeks, and is a 2 point gain from yesterday)

P.S. Don't let the Electoral College numbers frighten you. New Jersey is now a toss-up state, because a weekly poll has Kerry up only 3 points. I figure this is more of a snap-shot aberration. There is no way that New Jersey is that close. The same thing happened to New York the week before, but this week a 6 point Kerry lead there quickly went to 12 points yesterday.

[WI_DEM]

1. thanks Louis

but change your heading to 9/28 report, not 9/22.

[louis c]

3. Done

Sorry for the Type-O

[redsoxliberal]

2. appreciate the reports

always look forward to your posts, but I'm too cheap to pay for it myself. Thanks!

[faithnotgreed]

4. thanks louis. i appreciate when you note if its good news in the title

theres all the junk polls out so i know now to let them go. but if im going to count on rasmussen and zogby, it helps to know what the direction is first before i come on in

thanks again for the report

[kstewart33]

5. Thank you for continuing to give us access to the premier data (eom)

[louis c]

16. kick

[mzmolly]

6. Thanks!

:)

[VOX]

7. Thanks, louis c. Very much appreciated!

I've been saying for weeks now to ignore the national polls, and rather, take a look at what's happening in these in-play states.

It will be close, no doubt about that.

[louis c]

14. kick

[Guaranteed]

8. Great news, Louis...

Thanks for that. We need it.

On edit: If we win Florida and Penn, assuming we win Oregon, Minnesota, Maryland, NH and get 2 EVs from Maine, all we need is ONE state out of NV, Iowa, Wisconsin, Missouri, Arkansas, New Mexico or WV to win.

[KC21304]

9. Thank you for a much needed lift.

You do such a wonderful job for us.

[59millionmorons]

10. I am not greedy

Just give us Florida. I am not worried about PA as long as Philly and Pittsburgh dont have hurricanes on Nov 2.

[shawmut]

11. I'm most happy to see those Ohio numbers

because I remember some people were ready to write that state off a couple weeks ago.



Excellent news. :thumbsup:

[Nicholas_J]

12. Cant get a link but todays IBD/CSM poll has

Kerry and Bush even at 45% Nader at 2%

MoveOn did a full page ad in the New York times exposing the methodology
of oversampling of republicans by gallop.

[louis c]

13. kick

[RevolutionStartsNow]

15. I'm looking at that NYT ad right now

I'm in NY this week, and I just opened the paper and found that ad. It's titled "Gallup-ing to the Right." Great job, MoveOn!

Of course NYers don't need to be told this, and the rest of the country does.

I'm wearing my K/E button and the waiter at the Vietnamese restaurant where we had dinner was thrilled to see it. He said he hates Bush, and can't wait to see him be defeated. I made him promise to bring 5 others to the polls with him. He got a nice big tip. :)