Monday, September 5, 2005
Minuteman may give Democrats Cox's seat
Gilchrist could end up diverting support from the GOP nominee.
By MARTIN WISCKOL
The Orange County Register
Here's how a Democrat wins the 48th Congressional District, in which just 27 percent of the voters are registered as Democrats: First, he or she beats the other three Democrats in the Oct. 4 special election to replace Christopher Cox, who quit to head the Securities and Exchange Commission. Since it is unlikely any of the 17 candidates will get a majority of the votes, the top candidate from each party will proceed to a Dec. 6 runoff.
American Independent candidate Jim Gilchrist, whose Minuteman anti-illegal immigration project has brought him considerable attention, will be battling for many of the same votes as the Republican nominee. That GOP nominee - probably John Campbellor Marilyn Brewer- will be considered the favorite, but will have to shore up support that could drift to Gilchrist, who is the only candidate from his party and so automatically is named on the runoff ballot.
Say Newport Beach attorney Steve Young- who's received the California Democratic Party's endorsement and has said he'll spend $1 million to win - is the Democratic nominee. Say he gets some additional help from Democrats elsewhere in the country. Say he proves to have crossover appeal to independent voters and moderate Republicans. Say Gilchrist makes a dent in the conservative GOP base - particularly if the Republican nominee is Campbell, who's vulnerable to attack because of a state legislative vote he cast on an immigration issue.
http://www.ocregister.com/ocr/2005/09/05/sections/local/local_columns/article_662611.php