This is a continuation of another thread. This article states that The Bush/Kerry race would be a dead heat without the Bay Area. We are a Dem lock recently but this is recent. What changed? I posted in the other thread that I think it's the environmental and women's issues that changed us. I would love some other opinions.
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_mesg&forum=132&topic_id=597073&mesg_id=597073&page=Kerry keeps 12-point lead over Bush in California. Bay Area provides...
Edited on Fri Aug-06-04 12:32 PM by Zinfandel
challenger with strongest support...
California voters favor Sen. John Kerry over President Bush by a 12- percentage-point margin, a lead that has remained steady since Kerry emerged as the presumptive Democratic nominee in February, according to a Field Poll released today.
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"If you remove the Bay Area from California, it would be pretty much a dead heat,'' DiCamillo said, observing that Bay Area residents sometimes live in a political bubble.
"Everywhere I go, people ask me in disbelief why Kerry is not leading (by more) in the election,'' DiCamillo said. "I tell them: You live in the Bay Area.''
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California, which has not voted for a Republican presidential candidate since George H.W. Bush in 1988, remains far more pro-Kerry than the rest of the country. A nationwide poll released Thursday by Fox News showed Kerry ahead of Bush among likely voters 48 percent to 43 percent. The survey of 775 voters had a statistical margin of error of 4 percentage points. A smaller sample of registered voters in 15 "battleground'' states showed Bush and Kerry in a statistical dead heat.
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Bush is scheduled to be in Santa Monica -- a Democratic bastion -- for a fund-raiser next Friday, according to documents circulated by the campaign. It will be Bush's first visit to the state since March, and anti-war groups are pledging to protest the visit already.
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Polls gauging the candidate's strengths will be critical in determining strategy for the final three months of the campaign. Reflecting California's position as a state not viewed as a battleground, the group of musicians -- including Bruce Springsteen --who announced a tour Wednesday of 34 cities to drum up support for Kerry will come closest to the state on Oct. 5, when Bonnie Raitt, Jackson Browne and Keb' Mo' play a concert -- in Kansas City, Mo.
http://sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/c/a/2004/08/06...