Rasmussen: New Iowa Governor Poll 12/1/05

[nickshepDEM]

From Rasmussen

Chet Culver (D): 41%
Jim Nussle(R): 38%

Jim Nussle(R): 39%
Mike Blouin(D): 36%

Jim Nussle (R) 40%
Patty Judge (D) 37%

Couple of questions for Iowa residents.

*Who are you supporting in the primary?
*Does Vander Plaats have any chance of winning the Republican primary?

[Debi]

1. I am supporting Chet Culver in the primary

and some of these numbers are surprising - I thought Blouin would see more support in some areas than he does. Especially looking at age and employment (I do realize this is a very small sampling of people, but still...)

I think Vander Plaats does have a chance if he can hold strong to western Iowa and paint Nussle as a wasteful spender with questionable morals (which, by the way, he is).

[amesdem]

2. Chet Culver

Chet Culver has my vote. He has a great vision for Iowa and provided substantive plans of how he will get the states economy moving.

Blouin's a Flip Flopper on abortion. Judge plays to corporate money. Fallon who?

I think I would rather go up against Nussle in the gubernatorial. There's so much dirt on Nussle it's sick. The negative press keeps coming.

[Debi]

5. But Nussle has been dirty since his first race in 1990 and it hasn't

stopped him from getting elected over and over and over again.

He runs as a Moderate and votes far-right-conservative and none of his followers looks at his record.

The affairs, the divorce and abandonment of his children, his evil life-destroying whisper campaigns, his dirty political money, his complete waste of the taxpayers surplus.

He's just disgusting.

However, Vander Plaats is openly far-right-conservative...far far right. I think there would be a clear difference between the candidates rather than the muddy water that Nussle creates during the campaign season.

Plus, on a personal note, the sooner I see that piece of shit lose a campaign the happier I'll be.

[blueloo]

7. Wait

Like the other candidates, Culver has faults as well.

[9119495]

17. Why don't you retire that bullshit flip-flopper shit?

Honestly, can't a person have a change of heart? Or are we all now championing the reckless certitude of GWB? Don't like Blouin? Fine, but try to pick a better argument. Besides, if Culver ever changes his mind about anything, you're off his bandwagon or you're a hypocrite. Don't force yourself into such a position.

[Debi]

18. There is really no reason to jump in and attack like that

Blouin only changed his position on a women's reproductive health care choice after it was becoming evident that he couldn't make the race w/the position he held (and the hypocritical "I'm a Catholic" reason for his position).

There's a difference between changing ones mind or political opinion because one has had a change of heart and changing ones mind or political position just to get votes.

[blueloo]

19. Yeah, um, Culver and the Death Penalty...

I wasn't in Iowa when Chet Culver announced his support for reinstating the death penalty but I do remember his statements coming shortly after a young girl was murdered and raped. Seems like an odd way to roll out one of the tenants of his platform. Is there a name for Culver's act? I'll provide the definition: a politician who uses a young girl's murder to demonstrate that he's a law and order kind of guy by proposing the death penalty, an abolished punishment since 1965, become lawful once again. Seems like a statement that follows the facts, do correct me if I'm wrong.

[Debi]

20. Culver's death penalty comment came as a response to a reporters

question about his stance on the death penalty ( I don't really know if anyone had ever asked his opinion before that time as his stance on the death penalty wasn't important to his S.O.S. position). I can't see where Culver has changed his position from that one comment, maybe you can enlighten me? I think some of us were shocked by his position, as we hadn't known it up until that time, but as far as I can tell he did not flip-flop or change it in any way.

However, Blouin has a voting history when it comes to women's reproductive health care choice, and it's not a women friend position. He has been strong anti-choice since his time in congress three decades ago. Now, all of a sudden, he's pro-choice? Please :eyes:

If there is any problem with Culver it's that he kept his cards too close to his vest for too long (He's known for some time that he was going to run for Governor) and maybe should have let his supporters know his positions on important policies rather than have us find out about them from a a response to a reporter's question.

I don't call it hypocrisy, of course, we are all entitled to our opinions here - aren't we?

[blueloo]

21. Hold up

All I am saying is that Chet Culver isn't above any of the other candidates when it comes to doing things politicians do. While he may have been being honest with reporters, what he had to gain by making that statement at that time leaves me very suspect. This isn't damning for him at all, it's just there's this idea that he's the only candidate with any "political character" as he apparently has no skeletons or issue discrepancies.

[Debi]

22. And God forbid we have a candidate in the race with political character?

don't worry, the republican mud-throwers will work to find something on Culver (or they'll make it up) (or they'll attack his father or his wife or his high school acquaintances or his supporters)

I'm only saying that it's unfair to paint Culver's stance on an issue as political opportunism unless you have proof that he had a different position at a different time. Blouin has been very clear on his position on women's reproductive health care choice...up until Mid-November, when he changed it. And this back and forth began because someone was upset about Blouin being called a flip-flopper.

[9119495]

24. Well, come on...this is the shit that destroyed us in '04 and now

we're going to do it to our own party members? I like every candidate running for governor this year and I'll be working for any of them as a nominee...but I won't work by someone that uses the George Bush shit-flipping machine as the model for good political discussion. On that I'm inflexible.

Why couldn't the poster state it any other way than flip-flopping?

[ISUGRADIA]

3. 4.5% margain of error so each race is a tossup with Nussle

which is good. Blouin and Judge could actually be ahead of him too.

[IA_Seth]

4. Holy Moly man get some sleep! n/t

[Debi]

6. Agree, it's a statistical tie with the whole 500 people surveyed

Just like the KCCI poll with, what, 400 surveyed. We won't know until after the primary who is really ahead.

However, like I said in my original post, look at the religious preference page and look at the employment page. Culver has more than the margin of error lead over Nussle and the other candidates. (Again, this is only a poll of 500 people).

[progressoid]

8. Also note that at least 21% are unsure or want someone else.

Seems a little early and also a small sampling polled.

Culver has some name recognition but that's not necessarily a good indicator of success.

[haroldgiowa]

9. Rasmussion?

My memory is failing me. One of the polster always weighed heavy to the red side during last years election. My thought is Rasmussion, but not a clear recollection.

[nickshepDEM]

10. Rasmussen was horrible in 2002, but they were good in 2004.

Maybe your thinking of Strategic Vision.

[haroldgiowa]

11. Could be

I was following so many poles that it muddied the picture. I remember when Kerry took the lead in the polls in late October, early November, there was one where he was still trailing. There was one web site that tracked several polls in all the states,don't recall who it was he mentioned that a certain pollster's numbers leaned Republican. Seems he was an American professor, in the UK. Maybe someone could help me on this.

On edit

It was Votemaster

http://www.electoral-vote.com/

[Counciltucky]

12. No Fallon?

I'm most likely supporting Culver, but it strikes me as odd that they didn't poll Culver v. Fallon -- he has a better chance of getting the nomination at this point than Judge does.

[Counciltucky]

13. And for that matter...

No Nussle v. Gregg Connell polling? :-P

[amesdem]

14. Connell??

Connell pulled out of the race.

[Counciltucky]

23. I know...

I was just joking.

[ldevries02]

15. I'm new here...

... but isn't this great news? I mean, anything showing us tied with the supposed "frontrunner" has to be good.

[newyawker99]

16. hi ldevries02!!

Welcome to DU!! :toast: