U.K. General Election 2005 prediction time

[Anarcho-Socialist]

Come on, time for a new poll and your predictions.

[Frederik]

1. Labour/LibDem alliance

Brown as PM. Dammit, Tory or continued Blair cabinet is both unacceptable! I predict defeat for the Chickenhawks.

[tjwmason]

3. Brown couldn't just leap in as P.M.

Obviously in theory the Queen could appoint him, and he would probably survive a no-confidence motion in the Commons. A coallition would in the short-term secure Blair's position.

Coallition governments are unstable, replacing Blair would require a long drawn-out leadership contest within the Labour Party (Brown up against Charles Clarke or John Reid) which would get bloody and damage the Labour Party very much.

A small Labour majority could see Blair forced to step down.

[muriel_volestrangler]

2. A large Labour majority, I'm afraid

I reckon about 60-70 seats.

[T_i_B]

4. I'm less optimistic

I reckon more in the reigion of 100 seats. I can't see anyone coming close to overturning a majority of about 180 seats.

[D-Notice]

5. 50-99 Labour majority

I'd prefer a lot less, pref a Labour-Lib Dem coalition, but can't see it happening

[Anarcho-Socialist]

6. I'm guessing a Labour majority of just under 50 seats

It could be more if Labour run a good campaign.