Why the NH recount doesn't discredit the exit poll theory!

[organik]

Because, looking at TruthIsAll's lovely "Pre-election State Polls vs. Exit Polls vs. Actuals: ONE Graph. Look Close"
It's obvious that NH did have faulty exit polls because the pre-election and exit polls are so far out of whack. I think the states we should focus on to discover fraud are states where the exit polls and pre-election polls were very close, and Kerry's total was less.

Not surprisingly, these include:

Ohio
Florida
North Carolina
Wyoming
Alabama
Arizona
Colorado
Illinois
Indiana
Kentucky
Louisiana

and there are more...

just a thought

http://2004electionfraud.com

[pointsoflight]

1. Good thinking.

[Timebound]

2. Yes. n/t

[Rumba]

3. NH is a small state, so presumably the deviation could be greater

Statistical outlyers are rarely an indication of the trend.

[Chasing Dreams]

4. Makes sense to me

[ClintCooper2003]

5. I keep thinking about what that one guy said - the guy who...

was holding a Kerry/Edwards sign outside that busy precinct in New Hampshire. He said the exit pollster was shy and only approached 5-7 people all day. What if that happened on a massive scale.

Don't get me wrong, I still think "something happened" on election day. It's just that not only do we have to work on our voting technology, but also we need to improve and increase our exit polling to reduce the margin of error. We need an army of those high-energy soccer mom types and serve cookies and coffee to poll takers or something.

[jkd]

6. I believe it does, but only if the recount had been complete.

The pre-election polls were all over the place for New Hampshire the two weeks prior to the election. One poll had Kerry up by 9% while another had Bush up by 1%. On Oct 15, Kerry stood at 51% in one poll and 46% in another. These were both respected pollsters. It was not so much as then the poll was taken, but who conducted the poll. The opinion polls were highly subjective.
Exit polls conversely have been historically very accurate. I'm more inclined to believe that the vote count was wrong and the exit polls were right. We had some students from Brigham Young University at my precinct this election conducting exit polls. Their results were remarkably accurate and have been for many years now.
If all the votes had been recounted in New Hampshire, we would have known for sure. If the total tabulated numbers equaled the total hand count, we could say with confidence whether the count or the exit polls were right.

[myschkin]

7. good thought!

I think the biggest surprise - concerning the latest polls - was Florida (but also Hawaii on the other side). But there was the expectation that the young and the undecided voters break strongly for Kerry...

So that's why I'm here at all. :-/

[Carolab]

8. brilliant

How does Texas compare?