Warren County Registration Statistics! (also broken down by precinct)

[ClintCooper2003]

As of Oct. 18, 2004:
Democrats - 12,370
Republicans - 38,467
Independents - 74,316
Other - 12
Total - 125,165

As of Apr. 2, 2001:
Democrats - 7,637
Republicans - 32,686
Independents - 57,963
Other - 28
Total - 98,314

Percentage change from 2001 to 2004:
Democrats - +61.97%
Republicans - +17.69%
Independents - +28.21%

So clearly, registered Republicans heavily outnumber Democrats, but percentage-wise, there is quite a surge in Democratic registrations and Independents simply outnumber everyone else. Also, Democrats only consisted of about 7.8% of the voters in Warren County in early 2001, but in Oct. 2004, they were about 10% of all voters. Republicans made up 33.25% of all voters in Warren County in early 2001, but in Oct. 2004, they were only 30.7% of the electorate.

This refutes an earlier post from a few days ago stating that Warren County was "trending Republican." More results of my research will be forthcoming... please be patient.

Here's a link that breaks down everything by precinct:
http://www.co.warren.oh.us/bdelec/voter_summary.asp

[ClintCooper2003]

1. Kick it until the cows come home.

[MrUnderhill]

2. There's potentially a difference between registration and voting paterns.

How did the actualy VOTE change from 2000-2004?

With that many independents, it's almost impossible to say "trending Republican" or "trending Democrat" wihout looking at the actual vote.

[ClintCooper2003]

3. My contention is the vote was fixed. n/t

[MarkusQ]

6. That could be misleading too...

The actual vote (say, from 2000), even if the count was honest, only tells you that there were so many people who were able to vote for Gore, but not how many tried but couldn't stay awake long enough to get to the head of the line in their precinct, and not how many who, seeing the line, asked themselves "Is it worth losing my job or abandoning my children for eight hours just to vote?" and decided it wasn't.

--MarkusQ

[lizzieforkerry]

9. There were no lines over 35 min in Warren County in the

2000 election

[ClintCooper2003]

10. Blah blah blah. You're a freeper.

[sabra]

4. It just doesn't make sense...

Hopefully the recount will uncover the truth!

[november3rd]

5. interesting stats

how come i can't find anything so compelling in ny state registration numbers?

[bmoney07]

7. This is a good point

because no mater what the county trends it matters that this county carried Bush to victory and if the dems increased numbers and the repukes lost numbers then that would have a great impact on the county and therefor the election

[ClintCooper2003]

11. It's not just Warren County. It's Clermont and even more so, Butler.

[RaulVB]

8. Kick!

[lizzieforkerry]

12. In Warren County

and I think all of Ohio, you only claim a party when you vote in a primary. This is why we have such a large number of Independents. Anyone registered that hasn't voted in a primary, will retain the Independent status. These can be die hard Republicans or Democrats that just haven't voted or haven't had the chance to vote in a primary. We also have a lot of crossovers. My step-dad is a Democrat but voted in the Rep primary for McCain, so was registered as a Rep, until the last primary when he switched back to vote in the Dem primary.

[berniew1]

13. Documentation of Irregularities in Warren County, Ohio

Documentation of Irregularities in Warren County
http://web.northnet.org/minstrel/warren.htm
http://www.flcv.com/swohio.html