AVG OF 80,000 EXIT POLL RESPONSE CURVE SIMULATIONS: KERRY BY 6 MIL VOTES!

[TruthIsAll]

CONFIRMATION! 80,000 EXIT POLL RESPONSE SIMULATIONS: KERRY BY
6 MIL VOTES!

Let's make the reasonable assumption that each of the 1350
exit poll precincts fits one of eight (8) response curves,
four of them non-linear with an approximate 53% mean (per
Mitofsky) and 4 straight line (50,51,52,53%) just to cover all
the bases. 

Based on the following eight simulations (10,000 trials per),
Kerry's average winning margin for the 80,000 trials is 5.7
million votes:

Kerry: 63.36 (51.83%)
Bush:  57.67 (47.17%)
Other:  1.22 (1.0%)

THIS RESULT CONFIRMS PRIOR ANALYSES OF STATE AND NATIONAL EXIT
POLLS.

Given: 1350 Total Precincts ranging from:
Strong Bush >   Strong Kerry
40	415	540	165	90		
with one of the following exit poll response curves:

1.Kerry Partisan						
51%	52%	53%	54%	55%  (52.88% wtd avg)

2.Bush Partisan						
55%	54%	53%	52%	51%	(53.12% wtd avg)
	
3.U_shaped 						
54%	52%	52%	52%	54%	(52.21% wtd avg)
	
4.Inverted U						
52%	52%	54%	52%	52%	(52.86% wtd avg)
	
5. Uniform 50%
6. Uniform 51%
7. Uniform 52%
8. Uniform 53%

10,000 simulation trials for each response curve yields
the following:
						
Resp	  K	B	Other	KV	BV	OV
1.	53.99%	45.01%	1%	66.01	55.02	1.22
2. 	53.05%	45.95%	1%	64.86	56.18	1.22
3.	52.06%	46.94%	1%	63.65	57.39	1.22
4.	53.32%	45.68%	1%	65.19	55.85	1.22

5.	47.60%	51.40%	1%	58.20	62.84	1.22
6.	49.57%	49.43%	1%	60.60	60.43	1.22
7.	51.52%	47.48%	1%	62.98	58.05	1.22
8.	53.51%	45.49%	1%	65.42	55.62	1.22
						
Avg	51.83%	47.17%	1.00%	63.36	57.67	1.22

[spooked]

1. Do you think Kerry knows he won the election so handily?

And do you think he was "threatened" somehow into giving up the good fight?

Superb Work, as always!

[AuntiBush]

10. Thought the same thing more than a few times.

He had to know because he is too intelligent, too conscious.

I still "just don't get it, though."

[kster]

12. Nope !

Kerry will be back.

[noamnety]

2. I read your posts and don't usually comment

but thank you for all your work on this.

[acmejack]

3. Imagine that...

and I am now utterly convinced that no amount of evidence, factual, compelling, black and white, or whatever, will change the minds of the sheeple. Only us believers in the choir even seem to care. How disheartening...

[sintax]

4. Nominated

The Pentagon has taken over.



Thanx for your efforts.

[AuntiBush]

11. Wow. Pict tells it all.

And welcome "sintax."

:hi:

[samdogmom]

5. Thank You!

Thank you for the hard work you've done since November trying to prove that the election was a sham. I've believed it from the beginning and I really appreciate your relentless push to get someone to listen. Keep it up--maybe someday (my dream is soon) you'll be able to bask in the glory of a big "I told you so!"

[sellitman]

8. Samdogmom...welcome to DU

:toast:

[Quakerfriend]

6. TIA, you rock! n/t

[Melissa G]

7. Nominated! ThanksTIA! n/t

[vince3]

9. Great Post

[kster]

13. kick.nt

[Mnemosyne]

14. You do great work, thank you so much for all Truth! n/t

:kick: :kick: :kick:

[kster]

15. kick for good luck.nt