Election Fraud Polling Analysis: The Urban Legend ( TIA )

[tiptoe]

Election Fraud Polling Analysis: Confirmation of a Kerry Landslide

by TruthIsAll    http://www.geocities.com/electionmodel/FurtherConfirmationOfaKerryLandslide.htm

Introduction: To Believe Bush Won...

1. When Decided
   
2. Bush Approval Ratings
   
3. The Final 5 Million Recorded Votes
   
4. The Final Exit Poll: Forced to Match the Vote
   
5. Within Precinct Discrepancy
   
6. New Voters
   
7. Party ID
   
8. Gender
   
9. Implausible Gore Voter Defection
   
10. Voter Turnout
    
11. Urban Legend
    
    Election 2004: The Urban Legend by Michael Collins (autorank) provides convincing evidence that Bush’s urban vote shares were implausible.
    
    The purpose of this analysis is to provide additional support for Collins’ findings. The focus is on the National Exit Poll location-size and regional demographic categories. We will look at the Final 2000 NEP, the 2004 NEP (updated at 7:33pm on Election Day) and the Final 2004 NEP (updated at 2pm the following day). Since the Final NEP is matched to the recorded vote, it can be used to show that the changes in Bush urban and suburban vote shares from 2000 were implausible. In addition, a detailed table of changes in the recorded New York county vote provides further confirmation that the Bush “mandate” is a myth. ...
12. Location Size
    
13. Sensitivity Analysis
    
14. Did Kerry Win 360 EV?
    
15. Election Simulation Analysis
    
16. Exit Poll Response Optimization
    
17. Uncounted and Switched Votes
    
18. Florida
    
19. Ohio
    
20. New York
    

Appendix

1. Election Model: Nov.1 Projection
   
2. Interactive Monte Carlo Simulation: Pre-election and Exit Polls
   
3. 1988-2004 Election Calculator: The True Vote
   
4. The 2000-2004 County Vote Database
   
5. Statistics and Probability: Mathematics of Polling
   

[Wilms]

1. Cool!

:applause:



























































Now what?

:eyes:

[tiptoe]

2. k!

[Kurovski]

3. Kick.

:kick:

[cuadrangular]

4. Question is: Why didn't Kerry protest

Wouldn't it make sense to expect Kerry to make a big fuzz out of all this if he had been robbed? Just saying.

[Blue Shark]

5. Because John Forbes "Howdy reporting for Duty" Kerry II...

...got punked by the Commander-in-Thief

...This...AFTER (s)Election 2000, and AFTER promising to count every vote, all so he could keep his powder dry for 2008.

...Bwaaaaahahahaaaaaaahhahahahaaaa!