Federer/Nadal

[Awsi Dooger]

I can't remember a more compelling men's grand slam final in the past decade. If Roger wins this one you've got to love his shot at the calendar grand slam.

Federer is my favorite athlete but I'll pick Nadal. Based on his 5-1 career record over Federer and especially the recent Italian final. When you blow a 4-1, later 5-4 with two match points, and then 5-3 tiebreaker leads, the other guy should get a huge boost from that in the next meeting and win more decisively.

Federer's lone win over Nadal came on hard court when Nadal blew a 2 set lead.

[Awsi Dooger]

1. Nadal favored

But a bit less than I expected.

Nadal is -150, Federer +130. That's bet 15 to win 10 on Nadal, bet 10 to win 13 on Federer.

[Awsi Dooger]

2. Somewhat disappointing match

First two sets were alternating 6-1 walkovers. Federer blowing the 40-0 games in the second and especially the third set were the turning points. Nadal is such a human backboard it gets to Federer and you can see him pressing more and more.

This is the type of deflating loss that can impact Federer for a while. I'm not saying he falters at Wimbledon, but it's much more likely now after a loss like this, one with such historical significance.