Prediction: Bush will be at 29% approval Memorial Day wkend

[Ishoutandscream2]

I know there's a lot going on right now with Rove, resignations, sexual escapades, continuing problems in Iraq, etc. But one thing, and one thing only, will probably sway the approval ratings even lower - the cost of gasoline. Could gas be up to the $4 dollar range (talking national average) come Memorial Day weekend? Even if it doesn't quite get that high, any big jump will not help the Boy King.

I say under 30% around or immediately after Memorial Day weekend. What do ya'll think?

[lvx35]

1. I agree, it depends on gas prices...

So if the gas is high enough then, by all means.

[BlueManDude]

2. I'm not sure how much lower he can go. 20s would be devastating.

[Kikosexy2]

12. I truly believe...

that even now they are lower in the 20s or teens instead of 31%...won't surprise me since the "Librul Media" won't report it as so...but he has to be in the low 20s..

[Karenca]

3. i cannot waIt for it to slip

into the 20's
then the
teens.

I wonder how low he'll have to go before we can fet rid of him?

[longwolf53]

4. gas

I agree as well on the gas prices

[Karenca]

6. Hi

Welcome :hi:

[Ishoutandscream2]

8. Welcome to the friendly confines

Nice to have ya!

[newyawker99]

13. Hi longwolf53!!

Welcome to DU!! :toast:

[Virginia Dare]

5. Sounds about right...n/t

[Hubert Flottz]

7. He don't care he's

Gone Fishin'...

[Kolesar]

9. I think the "summer driving season" demand is only urban legend

People are already reducing discretionary driving. That will deal with the summer surge. My two cents

[Robbie Michaels]

10. Put me down for 28%

...and $4 a gallon for super unleaded gas in San Diego while we're at it. :grr:

[liberalpragmatist]

11. Truth be told, I'm pretty stunned by his numbers

Given the strength of his cult of personality and the former intensity of his support - in 2004 he was more popular with Republicans than Reagan - I was sure that just below 40% was his floor; perhaps 36% at the lowest.

He is completely surpassing my greatest expectations. He is an overachiever at underachieving.

[Jack Rabbit]

14. And he'll be at 15% after everybody fills their gas tanks Tuesday morning

!!

[geniph]

15. I dunno, I think the hardline backwashers

are about 30%, and I don't think you could change those people's "minds" if they personally, with their own eyes, saw their god-anointed Chimperor eating aborted fetuses with a silver spoon.

We just have to accept that 30-35% of people will never ever change their minds, and trying to argue with them using facts is a waste of oxygen. Once you ID a backwasher, the best you can do is stay the hell away from them.

[robbedvoter]

16. Depends on the pollsters - will they allow it?

I suspect the backwash is much much lower these days - in fact today's official numbers are probably W's real numbers throughout. They just allow a bit of adjustment for reality (which we know, has a liberal bias)