file83
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Wed May-24-06 03:23 AM
Original message |
Anyone want to see the strength of the CHINESE MILITARY? |
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Holy crappola. The United States military would get a run for their money if they ever tried to battle these guys. VIDEO: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N9i5zjMjNRAOne more thing to keep in mind... This video is from 1996. Just think of what they have now.
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Kagemusha
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Wed May-24-06 03:34 AM
Response to Original message |
1. Their power projection over the sea is low. |
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It takes more than "a run for your money" to launch a successful invasion of a large island like oh, Taiwan. I wouldn't fret so much.
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file83
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Wed May-24-06 03:47 AM
Response to Reply #1 |
4. Are you kidding? Their entire offensive goal set is "over the sea" |
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projection. Their offensive design is to attack Taiwan over the sea. They are very powerful in that respect. Don't get me wrong, the US is mighty too with some superior technology, but there is something to be said about a juggernaut like China with both technological capabilities, economic capabilities, and sheer numbers of troops.
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hogwyld
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Wed May-24-06 03:50 AM
Response to Reply #4 |
7. Wasn't it Stalin who said |
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"Quantity has a quality all it's own" They have our technology, and they can overwhelm us numerically.
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Kagemusha
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Wed May-24-06 07:53 AM
Response to Reply #7 |
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And that's a bit of a problem.
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One_Life_To_Give
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Wed May-24-06 09:18 AM
Response to Reply #23 |
33. Might not matter, if they can control the skies |
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If they can manage air superiority over the straight. The few transports and screening vessels they have will be enough.
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Nederland
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Wed May-24-06 11:19 AM
Response to Reply #33 |
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I haven't seen anything that says that their fighters are superior to our's though. Anyone?
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One_Life_To_Give
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Wed May-24-06 12:12 PM
Response to Reply #37 |
38. More a pilot skill question |
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My information is the SU-27 was equivalent to the F-15 in performance. Some it would come down to how well their missiles perform. If they are equivalent to the AMRAM our F-18's wouldn't do well. Havn't heard about any carrier based versions of the F-22 yet.
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Pavulon
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Wed May-24-06 09:22 PM
Response to Reply #38 |
44. Skill, avionics, command and control |
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The big picture is they have no central system like aegis that provides integration of weapon systems.
They have a tight soviet modeled air controller model.
They do not have MODERN avionics that equate to the systems in any f jet we operate.
The f-22 is well beyond anything any one uses. The f-18 super hornet is quite capable in trained hands.
The fighters are part of the system. The standard missile can reach well beyond 60 miles from a ship. The amram or any other air launched missile is only as useful as the pilot who is firing it.
It is all moot if they are blown up on the ground, ala israel in the 6 day war.
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Joe Fields
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Thu May-25-06 09:42 AM
Response to Reply #37 |
76. Superiority? A moot point, if we go toe to toe with the Chinese. |
hogwyld
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Wed May-24-06 09:10 PM
Response to Reply #33 |
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All the Chinese have to do is flood the straight with their 1000's of planes, and put every sub and ship in that 100 mile channel. With the number of container ships they use to sell us junk, it would be plenty for heavy transport, and use all of our Boeings for troop transport.
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neverforget
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Thu May-25-06 12:01 AM
Response to Reply #42 |
60. The problem for the Chinese is that we would see that build up |
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and strike them first, preemptively. Ships are at their most vulnerable when docked and planes when they are on the ground.
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hogwyld
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Thu May-25-06 05:39 AM
Response to Reply #60 |
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They can leave all of their planes at their home bases until zero hour, leave all of their ships at homeports until the last second. I would take the U.S. Navy months and thousands of miles to move all the ships needed to counter this. The Chinese only have to go a couple of hundred miles.
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Aristus
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Wed May-24-06 10:17 PM
Response to Reply #7 |
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A response to skepticism about his pre-planned industrial economy.
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Kagemusha
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Wed May-24-06 07:53 AM
Response to Reply #4 |
22. Sheer number of troops without a sheer number of ships. (Yet.) |
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Hey, in 20 years, sure. But they're not ready.
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hogwyld
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Wed May-24-06 09:06 PM
Response to Reply #22 |
41. It's not like we have the monopoly |
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We as a nation aren't exactly brimming with troop ships either! We do most of our troop movements through the air. You only need ships for tanks and such, and China has plenty of container vessels to use for that.
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Jigarotta
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Thu May-25-06 12:37 AM
Response to Reply #22 |
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lots of stuff happening at their back door yard. thanks to Gorge.
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dysfunctional press
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Wed May-24-06 08:46 AM
Response to Reply #4 |
30. can those sheer numbers of troops walk on water? |
Hubert Flottz
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Wed May-24-06 12:41 PM
Response to Reply #30 |
39. They will have you surrounded by the time you wake up. |
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They will ride in high and dry, inside all those containers on the ships that come into our ports without ever being inspected. And Bush's Arab buddies who will be running the ports will think it's funny!
Seriously, their number of military aged men outnumber our entire population.
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dysfunctional press
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Wed May-24-06 03:25 PM
Response to Reply #39 |
40. not very effective troop transport. |
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plus- they'd have to rely on our union labour to offload their troops...i hope that they're ready to pay some big overtime.
and since i live in chicago- the troops in the cargo containers will have to get trucked in here...that's gonna take a couple days, anyway.
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hogwyld
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Fri May-26-06 02:07 AM
Response to Reply #1 |
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It's a pretty short hop to Taiwan, and they've got plenty of Boeing's and Airbuses for that. Hell, China has so many troops, they could build a human land bridge!
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davepc
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Wed May-24-06 03:35 AM
Response to Original message |
2. I think they have capabilities to be taken seriously and respected |
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but they're not 10' tall and don't breath fire and poop lighting.
FWIW, that video reminded me of those old soviet May Day parades in red square.
a lot of flash, little substance.
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file83
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Wed May-24-06 03:43 AM
Response to Reply #2 |
3. True that. That video was pure propaganda - very Owellian 1984ish feel |
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to it. The thing that bothers me about the Chinese, is that they have the technology AND the sheer numbers. Their Military is WAY bigger in numbers than ours.
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JVS
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Wed May-24-06 09:26 PM
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46. Yeah. I bet the US could make an even more impressive video... |
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but that doesn't do us any good in Iraq
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Pavulon
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Wed May-24-06 09:31 PM
Response to Reply #46 |
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the mismanaged mess in iraq is not a true reflection of American capability.
The military's job is to fight wars, break toys, and kill people in mass. Winning hearts and minds is not war. Occupation is not war. It takes lives and is combat, but is a poor reflection of the purpose of the Military.
When it comes to that job the branches are quite capable of fighting an open war.
God help the nation on the receiving end, hopefully that will never happen.
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Conan_The_Barbarian
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Wed May-24-06 09:48 PM
Response to Reply #2 |
hogwyld
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Wed May-24-06 03:48 AM
Response to Original message |
5. Just like all things shall pass |
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The Greeks, Romans, British, all had their days in the sun as world powers before decay, alas, it is our turn at the nadir of history. This is China's turn at the helm of the world for awhile. America, it was good while it lasted, but in the end, our arrogance became our downfall. We didn't learn the history lessons of others.
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Caution
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Wed May-24-06 04:31 AM
Response to Reply #5 |
10. A little early for this pronouncement don't you think? |
hogwyld
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Wed May-24-06 04:40 AM
Response to Reply #10 |
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We have destroyed our military capabilities in Iraq and Afghanistan, Our troops, and our populace are thoroughly demoralized, and with *'s spending spree, we are at the precipice of econamic collapse. Also, don't forget, our "superior" jets don't fly too well without oil, and China's ally, Iran, is at the choke point of the spigot.
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deaniac21
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Thu May-25-06 09:36 AM
Response to Reply #11 |
75. Econamic collapse won't bother us a bit. |
TomClash
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Wed May-24-06 05:56 AM
Response to Reply #10 |
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The Chinese are becoming proficient at sea - and we are already wuite proficient in space.
Remember we are using a tiny fraction of our nonnuclear military power in Afghanistan and Iraq.
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alfredo
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Wed May-24-06 09:50 PM
Response to Reply #13 |
51. But isn't our lack of manufacturing a serious weakness? Look at |
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the problems we had with Ammo in Iraq? We had to buy from foreign suppliers until our domestic supplier was able to build a new plant to handle the demand.
How many trojan horses are there in Chinese electronics being used in the US corporate world? What about the computers at the DIA or FBI?
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Pavulon
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Wed May-24-06 09:53 PM
Response to Reply #51 |
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from IMI and others to cover less than 5 percent of total capacity.
The us intelligence community does not use chinese computers for secure systems.
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alfredo
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Wed May-24-06 10:01 PM
Response to Reply #53 |
55. What about the electronics that go in the computers, or other |
Pavulon
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Wed May-24-06 10:05 PM
Response to Reply #55 |
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stamps their own. Other equipment is manufactured by specialized contractors(motorola, Real IBM not comunovo, etc). Any computer doing true secret work is on a private network. It cant call home..
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alfredo
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Wed May-24-06 11:58 PM
Response to Reply #56 |
59. NSA made its own Security Enhanced Linux and has it |
TomClash
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Thu May-25-06 05:35 AM
Response to Reply #51 |
68. A trojan Horse at DOD |
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which I think is unlikely is no match for US weaponry, which includes some pretty amazing new "technology." Let just say we can eliminate the Chinese without eliminating China. And they know it.
Still, I agree China is a problem.
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peacebaby3
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Wed May-24-06 09:14 AM
Response to Reply #5 |
32. I couldn't agree more. We are on the way down. It won't be overnight, but |
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we have fallen into the same trap and pattern of the other world powers, as you noted. You know back in college during Historiography class while learning the different theories, I always wanted to dismiss the circular theory because I wanted to believe that we as humans could always break the cycle, but maybe I'm just wrong. China is in the process of destroying us economically as we speak and these jerks running our country just keep adding to the deficit.
I wonder which will happen first, the fall of the US or the end of the world as we know it due to environmental catastrophe?
SO, I hope everyone has a wonderful day!!! :)
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Pavulon
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Wed May-24-06 09:35 PM
Response to Reply #5 |
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China is fucked up. I have been there. Many millions live in abject poverty. Not american poverty. No medical care period, starve and die poverty.
They are a half communist undecided nation just coming into real power.
China has great potential. I enjoyed china and think they will undergo massive changes fueled by capatilisim..
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Sterling
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Thu May-25-06 09:32 AM
Response to Reply #48 |
74. Seriously, people need to get a grip. |
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As bad as things get for us they will almost always be worse for China. China faces the same resource challenges we do and have the burden of a much larger population added to the mix.
It seems like some people are so excited to see the US eat shit they are looking for the next "great white hope" to put us in our place.
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hogwyld
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Fri May-26-06 02:10 AM
Response to Reply #74 |
82. Keep living in Fantasyland |
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The days of U.S. hegemony are done. China is the world's new hyperpower. When's the last time our economy had 20% growth??? What happened the last time you fought the Chinese? (Korea) You didn't fare too well there...
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Conan_The_Barbarian
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Wed May-24-06 09:57 PM
Response to Reply #5 |
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This is not the first time the United States has been de-throned only to came back like a raging inferno ready to kickass. The Soviets prospered while America suffered the depression but who came out on top? The Japanese had us pinned down economically during the 80's they owned everything but we came back with the rocking 90's. While it does seem that we've worked ourselves into an INCREDIBLY tight spot I just can't see this being the the days that marked the beginning of the end. Right now the likelihood of a comeback is looking slimer and slimer each passing month but remeber the game isn't over until the ref blows the wistle.
You never know, perhaps another innovator like TR, or FDR, or hell even Nixon (The guy was scum but god damn did he know politics and power) might come along with a few tricks up their sleeves to save this slowly rotting nation.
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unschooler
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Wed May-24-06 03:48 AM
Response to Original message |
6. And guess who designed and built all of those airplanes? |
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:patriot:
Sorry 'bout that, Taiwan.
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file83
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Wed May-24-06 04:01 AM
Response to Reply #6 |
8. Exactly. Too bad, so sad. |
davepc
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Wed May-24-06 04:04 AM
Response to Reply #6 |
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Bunch of SU-27s and SU-30s and some home built stuff like the J-8 and J-10.
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Sherman A1
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Wed May-24-06 05:46 AM
Response to Original message |
12. China may be a threat - in 20 years or so |
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The Atlantic Monthly did a nice article about a year ago on China's military and following developments in the U.S. Naval Institutes's Proceedings along with Foreign Affairs I would think that their actually ability to project power is still fairly limited. Their Navy and Air Forces are a hodge podge of foreign built, designed and aging equipment (check GlobalSecurity.org for details). Yes, they could put up a spirited defense if invaded based upon sheer numbers (which is why Truman didn't want to follow Dougie's advice in the Korean War). With that said the Chinese are in a military, replacement, expansion phase of sorts, with lots of money pouring in from our purchases at Wal Mart, they have a chance to fly something beyond Mig17's and Mig19's from the 1950s and 60's, so why not? Their interests lie in Taiwan, Coastal Defense (Gotta watch that American Navy - with 10, Yes 10 Carrier Battle Groups) and I understand a Pacific Island chain called The Spratleys which is claimed jointly by the Philippines, Vietnam and China. Things needed for projection of power are a Blue Water Navy, which they really don't have and their Air Force's long range capability. A video from 1996 showing a missile firing off a destroyer really doesn't tell the whole tale.
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formercia
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Wed May-24-06 06:01 AM
Response to Reply #12 |
14. Buying Chinese made goods: |
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A capitalist will sell you the rope to hang him with --Lenin
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deaniac21
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Thu May-25-06 10:32 AM
Response to Reply #14 |
77. Lenin sure proved he was right on that one! |
bowens43
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Wed May-24-06 06:29 AM
Response to Reply #12 |
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Edited on Wed May-24-06 06:31 AM by bowens43
The fact that a nation is powerful doesn't mean it's a threat. That's the neo-con menatlity.
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sendero
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Wed May-24-06 06:41 AM
Response to Reply #16 |
18. China will not be a threat.. |
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... so long as we do not attempt to interfere militarily with any of their aims. Such as owning Taiwan.
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bowens43
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Wed May-24-06 06:28 AM
Response to Original message |
15. Yep, that's the next right wing talking point. |
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The next bogyman under the bed. The next evil doer. The next excuse to funnel hundreds of billions more dollars into the military industrial complex....
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HornBuckler
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Wed May-24-06 06:35 AM
Response to Reply #15 |
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Albeit - it is impressive but can we fathom the nasty shit our tax dollars have bought?
You WON'T Find video of that. I'm afraid.
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JHB
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Wed May-24-06 06:46 AM
Response to Original message |
19. Thank you, Mr. Wolfowitz, for your "Team B" analysis of the Soviet Threat |
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OK, sorry for calling you the wolfy-name, but you're "holy crapola"-ing over a propaganda reel. Effective editing does not equate to effective force projection.
What I will agree with you on is questioning politicians of both parties what WE get from all this transfer of knowledge, technology, and manufacturing capability from ourselves to China under the guise of "free trade".
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jayfish
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Wed May-24-06 07:31 AM
Response to Original message |
20. With China I Would Be Worried About Economic Concerns... |
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over military ones. China's military would be routed pretty quickly by the US. Not because of the superiority of our weapons systems, which are superior BTW, but because of the superiority of our playbook. The US has a short but rich history of successful military conflict. The Chinese throughout that same period, and even longer, have a history of well, ...getting their asses kicked. You might have the most advanced military in the world but if you don't know what to do with it, it could become fodder. It's like two pro-football teams playing each other. One with Mike Ditka as coach and one helmed by the local high-school coach.
Jay
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newportdadde
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Wed May-24-06 07:34 AM
Response to Original message |
21. The amount of our debt they prop up is far scarier then their military. |
Hobarticus
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Thu May-25-06 12:19 AM
Response to Reply #21 |
63. That, my friend, is the harbinger of our own doom... |
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and we gleefully borrowed the money to buy our own rope from them, to quote another poster.
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shadowknows69
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Wed May-24-06 07:55 AM
Response to Original message |
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because I'm pretty sure we'll get to see it someday.
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Virginia Dare
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Wed May-24-06 08:17 AM
Response to Original message |
25. Even more worrisome to me... |
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I don't have a link but I read in the last year in the Washington Post that the Chinese Military is spending a couple of billion on "cyber attacks". That's fucking scary.
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oc2002
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Wed May-24-06 08:31 AM
Response to Original message |
26. they can destroy our economy wt/out firing a shot. |
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they own our HUGE DEBTS.
if they stop buying our debts or selling off the bonds, our economies would quickly buckle as the dollar lost its value.
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Tierra_y_Libertad
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Wed May-24-06 08:33 AM
Response to Original message |
27. Well, it's a good thing I still have my Mao button. |
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And, the marines taught me how to say "Gung-Ho".
But, what about the Mexican/Islamic/Venezualan/Gay/Cuban bogeymen?!!?
So many threats, so little energy.
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UTUSN
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Wed May-24-06 08:37 AM
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28. Better than monkey-bars that we launched a war against? n/t |
Xenotime
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Wed May-24-06 08:43 AM
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29. Thier military looks better than ours. |
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It looks like the could take us out if the wanted.
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PublicRadioVet
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Wed May-24-06 09:12 AM
Response to Reply #29 |
31. A question of troop quality and equipment... |
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China is wanting very badly to take Russia's vacated seat as The Other Great Superpower. And while they can muster a much larger number of troops than we can, where would such a force go, that would directly threaten the U.S? Japan? Taiwan? Mongolia? Simply having huge numbers of troops, or even lots of rifles to go with them, does not equal a superpower. It's all about projection capability, and unless China has magically created a fleet of hundreds of thousands of sea-able landing craft capable of moving its armies hundreds or even thousands of miles across open ocean, then those vast numbers don't mean much.
Of more concern than China's conventional force, is its nuclear force. And its economic clout in the world market.
Of course, given the rise of the Chinese middle class and the teetering of Chinese communism, methinks China might endure another internal revolution before it came after us in any significant way.
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newyawker99
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Wed May-24-06 10:53 AM
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PublicRadioVet
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Thu May-25-06 12:14 AM
Response to Reply #35 |
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Decided to de-lurk myself.
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Pavulon
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Wed May-24-06 09:15 PM
Response to Reply #29 |
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no SLBM force, no significant nuclear arsenal. No unholy trinity. (slbm, icbm, air) no sub force period. Run old soviet trash. Kill the crews routinely. Minimal surface fleet capability, no blue water navy No integrated combat control (aegis) no STEALTH capability (critical) No long range air strike capability No ability to maintain air superiority No modern airframe, fly old soviet and homegrown trash.
centralized command structure, soviet model. Like saddam in gw 1 We killed 40 thousand troops in hours with jets and bombs. Pawns and not bishops and queens.
Does this mean we should go to war with china, no.
However china is not a superpower, they do not have the military command and control or the systems to sustain a war with any large nation. EU Russia or the US.
It would be unwise to view an occupation as a war. The military is designed to break toys not occupy countries.
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hogwyld
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Thu May-25-06 06:33 AM
Response to Reply #43 |
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They have a similar system to Aegis. Stole it from us. Their missles have similar guidance systems. remember the espionage flap at Lawrence Livermor Labs and at Sandia Labs? They have modern, quiet diesel electric subs. Very quiet. They don't need long range strike craft. Taiwan is an hour away. They could probably crank out a couple of airplanes a day. Way more than we could produce. They don't need a blue water navy, They don't want to be sailing around in the Atlantic, they only want to control their waters and Taiwan's The Chinese are masters at asymmetrical warfare, and would probably take out our computer systems with hacker attacks. Goodbye GPS, goodbye modern communications. All of those GPS guided weapons become pretty dumb pretty fast. Oh, and don't forget, we faced the Chinese in Korea, they pushed us to the brink, and they forced us to sue for an armistace.
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sweetheart
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Thu May-25-06 06:41 AM
Response to Reply #70 |
71. Britain has a larger military budget |
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The army of vast infantry for a D-day invasion are sitting ducks to an airforce/intel like the US has. Without ever putting a foot near taiwan, strategic bombing from US bases would set back that army from 1960 rather intensely.
Nobody wants to go down that path...
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One_Life_To_Give
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Thu May-25-06 09:05 AM
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72. Quoting McArthur from 1940? |
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The same statements were made about US strategic bombing capabilities in the Pacific pre WW2. You have seen all the damage McArthurs B-17's did to the Japanese.
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deaniac21
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Thu May-25-06 10:34 AM
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hogwyld
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Thu May-25-06 08:51 PM
Response to Reply #78 |
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It was B-17's. The B-29's didn't come until later.
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deaniac21
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Fri May-26-06 02:58 PM
Response to Reply #80 |
84. I know my dad flew one. I was responding to the below... |
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You have seen all the damage McArthurs B-17's did to the Japanese.
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hogwyld
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Thu May-25-06 08:49 PM
Response to Reply #71 |
79. It's not like the Chinese are going to be sending up a bunch |
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Edited on Thu May-25-06 08:53 PM by hogwyld
of ME-109's either. They'll send up a wall of missles that we'll be lucky to survive. And with the closest U.S. airbase at least a couple of hours away, don't you think they would see the attack coming? Ah, but you say, how about the aircraft carriers? Sitting ducks with no close support.
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Swede
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Wed May-24-06 09:26 AM
Response to Original message |
34. Here is a site with a detailed look at the Chinese military. |
Xenotime
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Wed May-24-06 11:15 AM
Response to Reply #34 |
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* will probably take us to war with them because he feels threatened.
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DS1
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Wed May-24-06 09:23 PM
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45. Conscripts with shit for morale and food |
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It would be a tough fight, but we'd still fuck em up.
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paparush
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Wed May-24-06 09:40 PM
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49. Nukie Nukie. Sure, a shooting war w/ China would not be pretty... |
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They would just call in all of our debt they've been floating and you'd see the US flopping like perch out of water.
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NewJeffCT
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Wed May-24-06 10:13 PM
Response to Reply #49 |
57. The Chinese economy is still more fragile than ours |
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Their banks are worse than ours in the 1920s - prior to the Great Depression.
They have problems with rampant unemployment, including millions of recent college grads who cannot find work... and their social safety net is far weaker than even what is left of the fading US safety net (only about 1/3 of Chinese have health insurance, and even those with insurance often have to pay up front & then fight to get reimbursed, even if it is major surgery costing thousands)
Their infrastructure/power grid is in massive need of upgrading, even more so than ours... which is why China will be building a bunch of nuclear power plants in the coming decades.
The have huge pollution & environmental problems that make LA or Houston look like Gardens of Eden.
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SPKrazy
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Wed May-24-06 09:51 PM
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52. Yeah, So They Got A Missile Frigate |
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Our navy is at this point far superior.
Although they have some new diesel submarines that are very quiet.
I hope it never comes down to war, because it won't be conventional weapons that are used.
And with nukes, we all might as well just kiss our asses good bye.
Let us hope that saner minds (than * or Cheney) prevail
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The Traveler
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Thu May-25-06 12:13 AM
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61. "When it comes time to hang the West |
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a Capitalist will sell me the rope."
Yep. The free traders, the Norquists, the Bushes, they sold us out. Surprise.
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Hobarticus
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Thu May-25-06 12:21 AM
Response to Reply #61 |
64. Updated: "when it comes time to hang the West...." |
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"I'll be charging 12% on the money I loaned them so they could buy their own rope from me."
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The Traveler
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Thu May-25-06 12:56 AM
Response to Reply #64 |
jerry611
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Thu May-25-06 12:31 AM
Response to Original message |
65. Their whole military is geared for one and only one goal |
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Taiwan.
China is spending a ton of money on military defense. And they are spending it on ground forces and artilery.
Their naval fleet is very poor. Their air fleet isn't any better than the typical soviet-era planes that have been circulating the black market for years. They have nukes but the arsenal is small and they don't have ICBMs. They MIGHT be able to reach California. But not any further. We on the other hand have ICMBs that can vaporize their whole country.
The Chinese don't consider us a military threat. At least not yet. Since they are spending all their money on ground forces and short-range missiles, it looks like they want to invade Taiwan.
A war with the US would be a Naval war. They would lose that war pretty quickly. And we won't ever see a ground war between the US and China.
They can try to play economic games, but their economy is almost as dependant on us as we are on theirs. Which is the very reason we won't ever see a war between the US and China. Conflicts of economic interest is the primary cause of war on this planet (other than religion). And we do not have a conflict of interenst economically with the Chinese.
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derby378
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Thu May-25-06 09:09 AM
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73. Now compare this exercise to what we saw in Iraq in 2003 |
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No comparison whatsoever.
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B Calm
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Fri May-26-06 04:17 AM
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83. Looks like a vintage war ship. I was on a Guided Missile Cruiser |
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back in 1969. USS ALBANY CG 10
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DU
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Mon Apr 29th 2024, 12:11 PM
Response to Original message |