Back to reality: McCaskill leads Talent (49% to 46%)

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http://politicalwire.com/archives/2006/10/31/in_missouri_mccaskill_claims_lead.html

Key finding: "There is a complex, symbiotic relationship in Missouri between the U.S. Senate race and Amendment 2, on stem-cell research. It is difficult to separate cause and effect. If you examine SurveyUSA's tracking graphs on the Senate contest, you will see little movement among Democrats and little movement among Republicans. But among Independents, the lead has changed hands 4 times in 5 polls. Today, McCaskill leads by 6 among the 21% of Missouri Likely Voters who describe themselves as Independent, up 6 from 1 week ago."

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1. I worry that Amendment 2 may hurt us.

Here in the very Conservative southwest corner of the state there are no on 2 signs everywhere and the churches are very active against it.