The Only Question: How Big Will The Dem Win Be?

[cali]

I am not one to wander to the far edge of optimism. My sense that the Dems will win convincingly is based on polls, specific scandals about GOP House incumbents, and the fact that sooner or later in politics, the pendulum always swings- and for obvious reasons it's swinging this year.

I'm convinced that we will take 25 seats or more in the House, and that we will end up with no fewer than 49 dem Senators (counting 2 Independents who will caucus with the dems.)

It'll take a lot more than John Kerry mispeaking the lines to a joke for dem candidates to lose.

[C_U_L8R]

1. It's gotta be overwhelming

with no margin for cheating

GOTV !!!!!!

[kegler14]

2. Don't anybody get complacent

We still have to get the right people out to vote.

[cali]

3. You're absolutely right

and I'm certainly not complacent, but I have made a pledge not to post anything negative until after the election. Not about democrats, and not about democratic chances. I think cheerleading is a much more productive way to go.

[Hoosier Dem]

4. I think we're going to do well...

My gut is that we'll pick up about 25 to 30 House seats. What amazes me is WHERE some of these pick-ups may be: Nebraska, Idaho, Central Florida, etc. These are RED areas. I'm not as surprised by the gains we're looking at in places like New York, Pennsylvania, and Connecticut. This is our home turf and the Pukes have been holding those seat for too long.

I'm kinda cautious about the Senate. I think we will get to fifty seats with pick-ups in Rhode Island, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Montanta, and Virginia. I have some worry, though about Missouri and Tennessee.

In Missouri, its electronic voting. Every poll shows this race close. Once the Diebold thugs get to playing around, they could very easily steal this one. (Shifting two percent to assure a victory is a lot harder to prove than say a miraculous Ken Blackwell win would be.) If I lived in MO, I'd be doing a paper ballot.

In Tennessee, I worry about what Newsweek called "The Bradley Factor". Back in 1982, the polls showed LA Mayor Tom Bradley (who was black) in a dead-heat for governor. On election day, Bradley lost because a large number of white voters shifted to the white Republican. I don't want to sound like I'm calling TN voters racists, but does anyone else have this kind of worry?

[cali]

5. Absolutely,

and republicans played on that latent racism. I don't see how Ford wins in such a toxic environment.