My official 2006 prediction:

[PistolSteve]

This isn't what I 'want', but it is my prediction:

Senate 50-50
Dems: CA,WA,NM,MT,ND,NE,MN,WI,MI,OH,NY,PA,VT,MA,RI,CT,NJ,MD,VA,FL
Repubs: NV,UT,WY,AZ,TX,IN,MS,MO,TN,ME

House 234-201 (Dems)

[TornadoTN]

1. I think you could be right

Although I still have hope in the MO race, not so much with the TN one however.

Could very easily be 50-50 or 51-49 when its all said and done.

[PistolSteve]

2. I agree, but I am worried...

...that Republicans will turn out higher than expected. Many of them will claim not to vote Repub, but when it comes down to it, they do.

[Hamlette]

3. soothing article about the election and GOP claims re: GOTV

http://www.washingtonmonthly.com/showdown06/archives/individual/2006_11/009950.php

And from a link about the GOP claims re: GOTV:

But didn’t the GOP prove its efforts were much more effective than the Democrats’ in 2004? No. Check the data. In Ohio’s base Democratic precincts turnout was 8.2 points higher than it had been in 2000. In base Republican precincts, turnout increased by a slightly lesser 6.1 points. Winning a state is not the same as doing a better job on turnout.

http://thehill.com/thehill/export/TheHill/Comment/Pollsters/MarkMellman/110106.html