WI_DEM
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Fri Nov-03-06 11:20 AM
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Poll question: How many seats do you think the Dems will gain in the Senate? |
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For what its worth here are my predictions:
I honestly think, when all is said and done, this will be a so-called wave election.
I think the Dems will retake both the Senate and the House. In the Senate we will take GOP seats in Pennsylvania Ohio Rhode Island Montana Virginia Missouri and in a surprise, Arizona where Dem Pederson has been coming on strong.
Unfortunately, I think (and hope I'm wrong) that Harold Ford will fall short in TN. I base this on where I see the momentum of the race, and unfortunately the momentum doesn't seem to be with Ford--I hope I'm wrong.
I think the two Democratic seats which are most in danger--Maryland and New Jersey will see Cardin and Menendez squeak through because 1) It's a Democratic year and 2) These are both very Democratic states.
In the end I predict a net gain of seven Senate seats bringing the Dems up from 44 to 51 with Vermont's Bernie Sanders as an Indey who will caucus with the Dems. So in effect this means we will have 52 seats to the GOP's 48.
I'm including Joe Lieberman in this equation (for now) as I also think he will win in CT (though I'm keeping my fingers crossed that Lamont will upset him again).
In the House I think the Democrats will win a minimum of 33 seats and a maximum of 42.
Finally, I think that Dems will regain a majority of Governorships for the first time since 1994. I predict that the Dems will pick up 8 governorships bringing our total up to 30. We will win Minnesota, Arkansas, Colorado, Massachusetts, Ohio and New York. In major upsets the Dems will take GOP governorships in Nevada and Idaho.
So how many seats do you see the Dems gaining? (and any other predictions you would like to make).
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cautiouslywaiting
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Fri Nov-03-06 11:22 AM
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on everything except Arizona.
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bryant69
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Fri Nov-03-06 11:23 AM
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2. The tricky thing is that any individual rae I think we might have a |
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good chance of winning - but factoring the odds of winning them all -and the numbers become a little tougher. Bryant Check it out --> http://politicalcomment.blogspot.com
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porphyrian
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Fri Nov-03-06 11:26 AM
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3. I don't even want to guess. Let's see. - n/t |
elocs
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Fri Nov-03-06 11:34 AM
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5. An intelligent and prudent reply. n/t |
Nicholas D Wolfwood
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Fri Nov-03-06 11:31 AM
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I think we've got a better chance of Ford winning than Webb. Call it a hunch, but i have little confidence in Virginia (I live in the DC region and see all of their ads/debates too).
I'd love to see AZ swing our way, but that'd really be a surprise.
Mark me down for 5. MT, TN, RI, PA, and MO.
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Recursion
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Fri Nov-03-06 12:51 PM
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6. We'll win 5, and Joltin' Joe will pull a Jeffords in 6 months |
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Fri Apr 19th 2024, 11:02 PM
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