Arizona - Pederson(D) leads Kyl(R) in early voting poll, closes gap in other polls

[Wheezy]

Keep an eye on this race -- things are changing....


*ARIZONA**: The DSCC put $1 million into Arizona yesterday, releasing a new television commercial highlighting how Jon Kyl has marched in lockstep with Bush while catering to the special interests. Watch the Ad. <http://www.dscc.org/news/multimedia/20061102_change/> The ad buy coincides with data showing Jim Pederson closing in on Kyl – A Harstad poll has Pederson leading in early voting, 44% - 40%, while an Arizona Star poll has Pederson dramatically closing Kyl’s lead to just 4.5 points (46-41) … Bill Clinton stumped for Pederson, bringing a surge of Democratic momentum to the state.
<http://www.azstarnet.com/news/154005>; DSCC Release, 11/2/06

<http://www.dscc.org/news/roundup/20061102_kylad/index.htm>, Harstad Poll, 11/2/06

<http://www.dscc.org/img/AZearlyvote.pdf>; Arizona Daily Star, 11/3/06

<http://www.azstarnet.com/sn/hourlyupdate/154140.php>; East Valley Tribune, 11/3/06

<http://www.eastvalleytribune.com/index.php?sty=78148>]

[azmouse]

1. I'm keeping my fingers crossed!

I voted early last week... for Pederson, of course!

I'll be watching that race all night long on Tues. It'll probably not be called til late. I expect it to be a close race.

[in_cog_ni_to]

2. Pederson will win. Stu Rothenberg said if an incumbent isn't polling at

50% or above, at this point in the election, he's TOAST. Kyl is toast!

[WI_DEM]

4. Then that would mean that Menendez might be toast too

[in_cog_ni_to]

8. Well, no

BECAUSE they are saying Menendez isn't REALLY an incumbent because he was chosen by Corzine to replace him after he won the Governor's seat. That's THEIR logic, not mine.:hi: I'll take it though.

[wryter2000]

3. Oh, please...oh, please...oh, please

Can we please get rid of that idiot, Kyl? :bounce:

[Hav]

5. .

Arizona would be the big surprise I guess and it would really bring us closer to at least 51 Senate seats.
I saw some close polls, but not that close yet. And I don't know whether it was helpful for the Dems that the Repubs now know that Pederson leads at the moment. It will energize the Repubs to get out the vote.

[BeFree]

6. 44% - 40%

Why that's only 84%!

That leaves 16% undecided. So Pederson gets 11% and he wins? Doable, eh?

[Wheezy]

7. 12% refused to answer the question. 4% voting the indie candidate, I think

[DURHAM D]

9. If the Dems can take 52 seats that makes Loserman irrelevant.

If we take only 50 or 51 he becomes way too important - unless he signed a contract to caucus with Dems.

[warrens]

10. There could be some real surprises this year

The wingnuts are getting REAL discouraged. And discouraged people find something else to do on Election Day.