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REPORT- Barring Massive Vote Fraud, The GOP is TOAST!

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Jcrowley Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-03-06 12:29 PM
Original message
REPORT- Barring Massive Vote Fraud, The GOP is TOAST!
Click this link look to the right and download pdf file titled "1994" to see entire very short 6 page report
http://www.democracycorps.com/

Report on the Final Survey in the 50 Competitive Republican Districts

It is very hard to look at the most recent Democracy Corps survey in the 50 most competitive Republican-held districts finished last night and not conclude that we are headed toward a 1994 election – with the Democratic majority approaching that of the ‘Gingrich Congress’. The named Democratic vote for Congress has moved up from a 3-point lead to 7-point margin since Sunday, with the named Democrat for the first time moving over 50 percent (51 to 44 percent). For the first time, the Democratic candidate is ahead on average in the bottom tier of least competitive races.

The generic congressional ballot has moved up to 11 points – up 3 points from Sunday and another 3 points from the week before.

The gap in interest in the election (those ranking their interest as “10” on 1-to-10 point scale) between Democratic and Republican voters has grown from 7 to 14 this week.

The trend in the final week on most factors, as we will elaborate below, favors the Democrats, including independents’ support, enthusiasm, and handling key issues, including taxes, and above all, the Iraq war. The 2006 election is rapidly moving toward being a referendum on Iraq.

We do want to underscore in this last survey conducted by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner for Democracy Corps some reasons why you should believe this is real:

• This survey, unlike any other public survey, asks the congressional vote using the actual names of each candidate, meaning this survey fully reflects any advantages for incumbency. We also ask the generic ballot for a read of overall partisan sentiment, but named vote is more likely to tell us what happens.

The shifts in this final week are almost entirely among independents who are giving the Democratic candidates landslide margins.
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helderheid Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-03-06 12:29 PM
Response to Original message
1. K&R
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librechik Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-03-06 12:31 PM
Response to Original message
2. that's a big bar
but I still dare to hope. Silly me.

:kick:
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Jcrowley Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-03-06 12:34 PM
Response to Reply #2
3. It sure is considering
The American vote count is controlled by four hard-wired Republican/neocon corporations: Diebold, ESS, Sequoia, and SAIC.

Every single aspect of every election is controlled and manipulated, by these corporations, with help from corrupt politicians and officials, the corporate media and, lest anyone forget, the US Supreme Court.
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aquart Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-03-06 12:38 PM
Response to Reply #3
6. A CEO can't be everywhere.
This time, the local Republican groups are NOT with them. The people they need to carry it out are NOT with them.

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fishnfla Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-03-06 12:34 PM
Response to Original message
4. Dare I say it?
This vote is a referendum on Bush. Too lttle too late, but he screwed it up so bad. His playas are gonna be hollering on WEDS.

Hopefully we will see the last of Rove....
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aquart Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-03-06 12:38 PM
Response to Reply #4
8. It is also a referendum on a malicious Congress
which actively worked AGAINST the interests of the American people.
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bigpathpaul Donating Member (623 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-03-06 12:35 PM
Response to Original message
5. This is good news, but beware!
There was a lot of optimism in 2004. Granted, the polls were nowhere near as hopeful as they are this year.

Lots can go wrong in a single day to push results one way or another. The closeness of so many races is what worries me. All it will take is a surge of say, Evangelicals, or some other group to cause Democratic losses. Or a carefully orchestrated GOP surprise this weekend (when it's too late to react sufficiently).

I made the mistake of getting giddy on Nov. 2, 2004 as early reesults indicated good news. I vowed never again to let that happen. I assume that, in every, race we're at least 10 points behind. Work hard and hope for the best.
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Jcrowley Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-03-06 12:40 PM
Response to Reply #5
9. The thing is the early results were right
as were the polls. It was massive vote fraud and that is the only way the Republicans won't get hammered. The question isn't what to do to prepare for a possible defeat for that is statistically an impossibility. The question is what to do if there is a theft. That brings us to a very different set of conclusions.
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BeFree Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-03-06 12:50 PM
Response to Reply #9
10. I love you. Ain't gay or nothing. But I love you.
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bigpathpaul Donating Member (623 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-03-06 12:50 PM
Response to Reply #9
11. So, are we prepared to deal with massive voter fraud this year?
If suspected, we need to react quickly.
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Jcrowley Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-03-06 01:57 PM
Response to Reply #11
13. I hope so
but relying on hope isn't enough. Hope means you've released your personal agency to some ephemeral force and I am not about to leave the matter to the courts, not that I have much impact, or some electoral board. I was out in the streets in 2004, I went to Ohio to participate in the farcical recount and if this year's election is stolen I'm preparing to be with others in demonstrations.

Here in America we are trained very well to stand by and let these other illusory mechanisms do proper oversight. That's why we've got what we've got. It's up to the likes of you and I and other people of conscious.
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in_cog_ni_to Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-03-06 12:38 PM
Response to Original message
7. I agree!
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jackstraw45 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-03-06 12:51 PM
Response to Original message
12. Like saying : Barring gravity, I'll leap to the moon today....nt
nt
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