New Gallup Poll Is Better For Dems then ABC or Pew Polls

[ECH1969]

President Bush's last-ditch push for votes and Sen. John Kerry's comments that seemed to denigrate the education level of U.S. forces in Iraq have helped energize GOP voters. A Democratic advantage of 23 percentage points a month ago and 13 points two weeks ago is now down to 7.

A Pew Research Center survey released Sunday also showed that an 11-point edge for Democrats on the congressional ballot two weeks ago had narrowed to 4 points among likely voters. Based on history, a 7-point lead among likely voters still suggest Democrats will take enough votes to win a majority of seats in the House," says Frank Newport, editor-in-chief of the Gallup Poll. What gives some analysts pause, however, is the sophisticated redistricting over the past decade that has made most congressional districts less competitive.

What's shifted is the determination of Republicans to vote. The Democratic advantage among registered voters was 11 points, but Republican voters were more likely to be judged as sure to go to the polls, making the edge among likely voters smaller. A month ago, the Democratic margin among registered and likely voters was identical.

Bush and other Republicans have warned about the perils of electing a Democratic-controlled Congress, and they also accused Kerry of belittling U.S. troops in Iraq with comments he said were a botched joke. In the Pew survey, 84% of voters said they had heard about Kerry's remark, and 18% of independent voters said it raised serious doubts about voting for a Democrat.

http://www.usatoday.com/news/washington/2006-11-05-national-poll_x.htm

[aquart]

1. "Comments he said..." Bastards.

They KNOW it was a botched joke.

[ECH1969]

2. The sheeple don't

[Flubadubya]

3. Softening for the steal, that's all...

Freakin' MSM... over 'n out. :grr:

[roamer65]

4. "sophisticated redistricting"???? Call it what it is...

GERRYMANDERING.

[ECH1969]

6. yup

[bluestateguy]

5. There is no way they were ever leading by 23 points

This is fine

[ECH1969]

7. Saddam's verdict might have also moved the numbers

I worry about that.

[bluestateguy]

8. Oh please

[ECH1969]

9. If Kerry making a stupid joke sways Americans

I worry about all the "SADDDAM TO HANG" headlines in the papers all across the country tomorrow.

A few points will win or lose this race.

[fujiyama]

10. Saddam's verdict is a joke

If gas prices falling a few weeks ago was suspicious, this is even worse. I think a lot of people see the timing of this as very politically motivated. It will have little impact. There are certain issues to worry about, but the Saddam verdict doesn't change the fact that Iraq is still insanely fucked up. And even brain dead fools have to admit that (unless they're as delusional as the bastards in this administration).

The tightening was inevitable. People shouldn't freak out so damn much. Maybe it was partly due to Kerry's comment (it probably motivated more RWers to get to the polls)...

[ECH1969]

11. You need to think about its effect on the electorate

Saying you think its a joke is all fine and good, but we are talking about politics on a macro scale.

Joe idiot out there is easy to sway.