NEW CNN POLL - Dems up by 20 points!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

[montana500]

Done over the weekend:



http://www.cnn.com/2006/WORLD/europe/11/06/monday/index.html



"WASHINGTON (CNN) -- The percentage of likely voters who plan to vote for Democrats in Tuesday's congressional elections increased in the past week, and those voters supporting Democrats also seem less likely to change their minds before casting ballots, according to a CNN poll conducted over the weekend.

Democrats hold a 58 percent to 38 percent advantage over Republicans among likely voters in the survey released Monday morning, compared to the 53 percent to 42 percent advantage reflected in the poll a week ago. Pollsters asked people who wires.send-nat-b wires.send-nat-b identified themselves as being likely to vote which party's candidate they would you vote for in their congressional district if the election were being held today.

On this question, the poll has a sampling error of plus or minus 3 percentage points"

[Bluebear]

1. oh HELL yeah!

Surge my ass.

[montana500]

5. "the surge"

was ABC right wing BS.

[ForeignSpectator]

41. really, I was a little scared...

...because that recent ABC poll ( R's closing gap ) even made it to European media sites. I thought "oh no, please not".

Good that CNN ( Europe ) is relieving me there...

[Mass]

2. Polls are all over the place, but they all show Dems winning the House.

This one is good to see.

[texpatriot2004]

3. Glad to hear it. nm

[spinbaby]

4. What happened to the surge?

You know, Republicans closing in, Rove's little miracle, all that...

[Kahuna]

8. My guess is, TED HAGGARD!!!!

Thank's Ted!! :applause:

[lpbk2713]

31. Foley, DeLay, Abramoff, et al ........

They sure as hell gave us a lot of help this time.

[mucifer]

6. Polls don't mean anything. The vote on Tues. is the only one that matters.

Keep working everyone!

[femrap]

9. Yep! Don't get complacent.

I don't trust the msm.

[nxylas]

35. It's the oldest trick in any government's arsenal

If it looks like they're going to suffer the mid-term blues, they always artificially inflate expectations of their losses so that they can turn around afterwards and say "See? It wasn't that bad". That trick was probably old when King George III was president.

[AspenRose]

39. Agreed.

It ain't over until it's over and anyone can say anything to a pollster. What matters is what happens in the booth.

[ps1074]

7. Damn, you mean the sky is not falling?

:hide:

[longship]

10. More disconnect between big issue and candidate polls

The reason? Because the candidate polls are skewed by pollsters to make the polls fair, to adjust the number of likely voters in the district to the proportions of previous elections. But these proportions are not going to hold this year. That's why the candidate polls are going to understate Dem strength, maybe considerably.

That's okay for the pollsters because they would rather that happen than to overstate Dem strength. Predicting a closer election is better than predicting a tsunami that doesn't materialize.

But they're going to be wrong this time. This election is going to be all Dem, all night.

We have all the momentum.

Do not believe individual candidate polls!

[ruggerson]

11. kick n/t

[mom cat]

12. Keep your nose to the grindstone

and prepare for a landslide!


Who is for sending thank you cards to Bush?

[Kierkegaard]

23. Even though we owe him some gratitude for being a total moran,

I wouldn't be willing to go much beyond pitching in for a box of chocolate covered cat shit.

[mom cat]

32. As long as its cheap chocolate!

[helderheid]

13. EXCELLENT!

:woohoo:

[ruggerson]

14. kick n/t

[berni_mccoy]

15. Notice that is the EUROPEAN edition... This is front page news that is curiously missing

the U.S. Edition.

[montana500]

16. yeah curious.....

;)

[Tiggeroshii]

17. If you average us with the other two polls that show us up by only 3 or 4,

you get the magic number of a 7% margin lead, which is the number considered by many to give control to the opposing party.

[montana500]

19. I saw only one poll...

....at 3-4%. Another had 7, another had 13, another had 16, another had 15 and another had 20.

So the average is around 12.5

[Tiggeroshii]

21. i like that number better

I recall seeing margins like that as well. Not sure if I was mistaken about seeing two between 3-4% or not.

[civildisoBDence]

26. Here's a collection of polls, some in single digits over the weekend

Polling report shows the results from literally hundreds of polls going back over a year.

This weekend seemed to show a bump for Republicans, but the two most recent polls have Democrats back up by double digits.

Newsprism

[Aviation Pro]

18. All the bullshit polls that were reported in the MSM....

...are just that, bull....shit. Keep pressing, the fight is never over and won't be over until the new Congress is sworn in.

[Sparkly]

20. Oh, but "Republicans are closing the gap!!"

So they've been saying on teevee all day long... :eyes:

[ItsTheMediaStupid]

24. There was one poll out yesterday from Pew Trust stating this

NPR pounded on it for over five minutes.

Now, today, I see huge swings towards the Democratic Party on multiple fronts.

If 20 percent of a generic ballot is even close to right, we could pick up 50 - 60 house seats.

[beltanefauve]

27. NPR has been doing exactly that

Not only are they hawking the "Closing the gap" meme, if you go through their archives for the last several weeks, you'll see a pattern of far more coverage and publicity of GOPers, even the ones doing poorly, than Dems. http//:www.npr.org

[senseandsensibility]

33. NPR is disgusting

I don't think most people on DU even realize how biased it is.:puke: It is blatant, and has been for many years. And then to have to hear people call it liberal!

[beltanefauve]

44. I listen to them

through force-of-habit, and I scream at them daily.

[WI_DEM]

22. Keeping my fingers crossed

[TankLV]

25. Not so. According to all the talking heads this morning, the repukes have the "mo" & are closing

the gap to make it a "toss-up"...

That's what ALL the media whores are saying...

[New Earth]

28. is this just for the house seats?

or the Senate seats as well? because MSNBC was just reporting the other night that the GOP was 'likely' to retain power in the Senate.

[oasis]

29. Makes sense to me. Kick

[lpbk2713]

30. Hell, they're all starting to look like Katherine Harris!!

And she has always had as much chance as a snowball in Hell.

[senseandsensibility]

34. So just to clarify, for those of us who don't watch CNN

The regular CNN is actually not airing this poll? They are deliberately supressing it? It is only being aired on CNN international? We need to call them on that.

[2QT2BSTR8]

36. I just could not find a recent forum to post this to...

... and I just do not know where else to post this to get an answer. Can anyone advise me on how I could participate in exit polling for my area? Do you have to pre-register? I just saw the HBO special last night after being out of town, and tv/computer/cell range for the weekend, and I am going out with my video camera, both of my photo cameras, and 3 dictation recorders to record anything and everything.

Do I just stand outside and ask people how they voted? Is there "official" paperwork that this has be tabulated on?

Any help would be great appreciated.

[truedelphi]

37. You should inform your County's Registrar of Voters

They need to know that you are honest and competent

They do not have the legal right to stop you.

They may however send someone out to intimidate you.

Take that person's name and remember that it is against Federal Law for anyone to intimidate another citizen in matters regarding the voted.

Thank you for doing this.

[yurbud]

38. remember the article saying we had to be up by 8% to beat fraud?

vote rigging, and intimidation? Looks like we made it.

[Major Hogwash]

40. Let's vote them muthers out!

Man, it's been a long time!

And today is the day!

[IWantAChange]

42. Polls don't factor in voter intimidation, suppression and outright fraud

don't forget people - we are fighting against KKKarl Rove and a GOP that has all the morals of pond scum.

[warrens]

43. Gotta be an outlier

If true, we'd pick up about 100 seats.

[SalviaBlue]

45. I'm Optimistic!!!

[Raffi Ella]

46. !!!

:bounce:

:kick: :kick: :kick: :kick: :kick: