VA and MT are ahead, Who flips the Senate? TN or MO?

[demwing]

Based on responses, I've altered this post a bit.

With Webb now ahead, and Tester cruising, I call the Senate as even.

We've still got Ford in Tennessee and McCaskill in Missouri. Either would give the Dems a 1 seat lead.

Have I done better math than Rove?

[kansasblue]

1. webb is not ahead.

[Monty_]

2. Yes Webb is ahead

where are you looking?

[FrenchieCat]

3. Yes, he is!

but enough wiggle room for a recount!

[dalaigh lllama]

4. Don't forget McCaskill n/t

[ktowntennesseedem]

5. Still trailing by about 3 points.

Not looking good for TN.

Anybody got a late, hopeful word out of the Show-me state?

[BootinUp]

6. You forget McCaskill?

I think she has a better shot than Ford.

[Clarkie1]

7. Or perhaps it's up to Claire....

[daveskilt]

8. mcaskill will pull it out - STL and KC still to come watch it shift in her favor

[4_Legs_Good]

9. I think it's actually about McCaskill, no?

I think it's all up to her.

Though I'm pulling for Ford too!

david

[Radio_Lady]

10. These races will be stalled and go through the night, and even beyond.

We're talking absentee ballots and possible litigation here.

Stay tuned, but do get some sleep.

[OKNancy]

11. I looked at the CNN site and then the maps

It looks like the places where there are large votes still out are heavy blue areas.
There is still hope for Ford. I have NO idea how they handle the early votes there.

[ktowntennesseedem]

15. The early vote turnout was very heavy,

but I believe those figures have already been included in the running total. Its all up to the remaining counties, and absentee, but they would have to swing very heavily toward the Dems to pull it out.

[Pirate Smile]

12. McCaskill is a better shot then Ford, probably.

[Azathoth]

13. Ford did better than I anticipated, but it's up to McCaskill n/t

[demwing]

23. Got any numbers on Ford?

I'd love it if we had a 1 seat buffer.

[redacted]

14. No, let's talk Missouri

[Scooter24]

16. If we win the Senate...

It will be with Tester, Webb, and McCaskill. Still optimistic that will happen.

Ford, unfortuantely, looks to be a loss.

IMO, worst case scenario will be a 50-50 in the Senate with us picking up Tester and McCaskill and losing Webb and Ford.

[demwing]

18. VA site shows Webb up by 1%

Webb has been climbing steadily for the last few hours, and now holds the lead.

[tjdee]

17. I'd look for McGaskill over Ford, because of the gay marriage

question (thanks alot, Republicans)--they've basically stacked it against him.

Which is a shame, because he's fantastic.

[Tiggeroshii]

19. if the exit polls are any clue

... McCaskill will be the one..

[Tatiana]

20. Don't forget McCaskill in Missouri! n/t

[Mr_Spock]

21. Ford is dead

:(

[Raine]

22. Ford lost

so says MSNBC :-(

[progressivebydesign]

25. shit.. I dreamt that last night that he had lost. :( n/t

[johnfunk]

24. Webb will win on recount. Ford came close, and we will see more of him

Likely: Tester gets MT, McCaskill likely gets MO.

Likely: we get the Senate too. I didn't think it would happen.