Phredicles
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Wed Nov-08-06 02:04 AM
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Looks like it's up to Montana: |
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http://sos.mt.gov/ELB/archives/2006/elections/general/ussenate/index.aspWith 209,000 votes counted, Tester 108,000 Burns 96,000 This is a narrowing of about 5,000 from what the margin had been for the past hour or so. C'mon Tester!
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montana500
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Wed Nov-08-06 02:06 AM
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1. "As Montana goes, so goes the nation" - Keith Olbermann |
Phredicles
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Wed Nov-08-06 02:10 AM
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2. And now with just under 220,000 in, Tester's up 113,000-100,000 |
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I'm embarrassed to have to ask this, but how many people live in Montana? And how many registered voters are there?
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keithjx
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Wed Nov-08-06 02:12 AM
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4. I was just posting.... |
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Edited on Wed Nov-08-06 02:13 AM by keithjx
Average votes cast over the last 5 non-presidential elections was about 338K.... http://sos.mt.gov/ELB/Voter_Turnout.aspKJ
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codjh9
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Wed Nov-08-06 02:17 AM
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7. Somewhere between 900,000 - 1,000,000 or so live there, I believe |
kenny blankenship
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Wed Nov-08-06 02:11 AM
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3. When can we expect a projected winner? |
darkism
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Wed Nov-08-06 02:12 AM
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5. 638,474 registered voters, 456,096 votes cast in 2004 |
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Edited on Wed Nov-08-06 02:13 AM by darkism
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Scooter24
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Wed Nov-08-06 02:14 AM
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6. Magical number is 240,000... |
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that's the number of total votes expected to be cast according to most analysts.
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Bucky
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Wed Nov-08-06 02:36 AM
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8. doing some quick algebra... Out of the 31,000 votes left to count, Tester needs 3000+ to win |
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IOW, Burns needs to win about 90% of the still uncounted votes to pull this one out.
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originalpckelly
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Wed Nov-08-06 02:39 AM
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9. I went through and I have done a short analysis... |
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In the counties which went for Bush, and have yet to report in at all, they were only 71% or lower for Bush in 2004. So that means that it is lower than your number.
In most places around Montana it looks like Tester is leading. Tester even has a slight 51% lead in Yellowstone county a super-Republican district which went for Bush with 61.71% of the vote.
That is an 11% point difference between 2004 and now.
So this looks very good for Tester.
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darkism
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Wed Nov-08-06 02:53 AM
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10. 279,257 have already been counted... n/t |
Barrett808
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Wed Nov-08-06 03:17 AM
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11. TPM has Tester leading Burns, 50% to 45% with 74% of precincts in |
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Wed Apr 17th 2024, 04:25 PM
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