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How did the pollsters do? Mason Dixon/ Ras--Best, Zogby--worse

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WI_DEM Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-16-06 02:57 PM
Original message
How did the pollsters do? Mason Dixon/ Ras--Best, Zogby--worse
Mason Dixon had an average error rate of 3.4% out of 14 races polled.
Rasmussen had an average error rate of 3.8% out of 30 races polled.
Survey USA had an average error of 4.4% out of 18 races polled.
Zogby had an average error rate of 8.3% and on six races was off by more than 15-points.

www.dailykos.com
(you'll have to scroll down a bit)

Those interactive polls are crap.
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bullimiami Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-16-06 03:00 PM
Response to Original message
1. that really deserves some analysis and comparison with exit
polls.

someone was off either in results or in their methods and im not sure who.
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DemocratSinceBirth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-16-06 03:01 PM
Response to Original message
2. He Would Have Been Better Off Just Making The Numbers Up
Zogby had an average error rate of 8.3% and on six races was off by more than 15-points.
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rinsd Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-16-06 03:03 PM
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3. Wow for all the shit Ras gets, this is the third election in a row where he did well
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WI_DEM Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-16-06 03:11 PM
Response to Reply #3
5. It's true and he's the one I usually look at the most
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Brazenly Liberal Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-16-06 03:17 PM
Response to Reply #3
6. It's a red company, but I believe their polling is actually pretty fair and accurate
They tend to be a bit conservative - not politically, but rather conservative in terms of keeping things in the "undecided" column longer than others. I don't see any trend to so more for either party, though. I think it's all numbers and I don't think they massage them.
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skipos Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-16-06 03:05 PM
Response to Original message
4. Pre-election polls in 2006 & 2004 were prett consistent with proclaimed results. nt
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