WI_DEM
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Thu Nov-16-06 02:57 PM
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How did the pollsters do? Mason Dixon/ Ras--Best, Zogby--worse |
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Mason Dixon had an average error rate of 3.4% out of 14 races polled. Rasmussen had an average error rate of 3.8% out of 30 races polled. Survey USA had an average error of 4.4% out of 18 races polled. Zogby had an average error rate of 8.3% and on six races was off by more than 15-points.
www.dailykos.com (you'll have to scroll down a bit)
Those interactive polls are crap.
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bullimiami
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Thu Nov-16-06 03:00 PM
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1. that really deserves some analysis and comparison with exit |
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polls.
someone was off either in results or in their methods and im not sure who.
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DemocratSinceBirth
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Thu Nov-16-06 03:01 PM
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2. He Would Have Been Better Off Just Making The Numbers Up |
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Zogby had an average error rate of 8.3% and on six races was off by more than 15-points.
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rinsd
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Thu Nov-16-06 03:03 PM
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3. Wow for all the shit Ras gets, this is the third election in a row where he did well |
WI_DEM
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Thu Nov-16-06 03:11 PM
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5. It's true and he's the one I usually look at the most |
Brazenly Liberal
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Thu Nov-16-06 03:17 PM
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6. It's a red company, but I believe their polling is actually pretty fair and accurate |
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They tend to be a bit conservative - not politically, but rather conservative in terms of keeping things in the "undecided" column longer than others. I don't see any trend to so more for either party, though. I think it's all numbers and I don't think they massage them.
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skipos
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Thu Nov-16-06 03:05 PM
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4. Pre-election polls in 2006 & 2004 were prett consistent with proclaimed results. nt |
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Fri Apr 19th 2024, 07:26 AM
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