Bush and Cheney could be out by President's Day.
The Watergate hearings took seven weeks. Unlike Nixon's admin, where "cover up" was the hallmark, Bush and Cheney have usurped our will and violated our laws in plain sight. There is no cover up to expose and detangle.
Everything necessary to make an irrefutable case for impeachment is in the
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_mesg&forum=364&topic_id=2749557&mesg_id=2759379">public record. (Even if there weren't so many other crimes to choose from, the world-wide hatred of Bush's USA alone endangers us; removing them to redeem the nation and make it possible to rebuild burnt bridges is a defensive act.)
Members of Congress could introduce articles of impeachment against Bush and Cheney when they convene on January 4, 2007. Committee hearings to review and make the case could be underway in days. Since there is no need for investigation, the hearings could move very quickly. (Note: Calling for open-ended investigation is a declaration that we don't have a case -- a lie that undercuts the powerful case we have.)
Once they get serious and declare their intent to impeach and remove, there is no set sequence of events. Between the threat of impeachment and removal from office (via resignation or impeachment) the possibilities are infinite. It could take weeks. It could take months. They could be out by President's Day (Feb 19, 2007).
Public reaction is a powerful driving force. Even with the 100% anti-impeachment propaganda coming from the establishment -- both Dems and Repubs -- Newsweek found that 51% want impeachment to be a priority, and only 44% believe "it should not be done." If they get serious about impeachment, the accusations will be the number 1 topic of public debate. The 51% is almost guaranteed to shoot up to more than 60% overnight. (For more on this, see the discussion in
http://january6th.org/oct2006-newsweek-poll-impeach.html">Results on Impeachment.
Once the leadership makes specific accusations and declares their intent to impeach, we'll soon find out how many Republicans are actually willing to defend the indefensible. It may be fewer than we can imagine. For example, Bush's abuse of signing statements to nullify McCain's anti-torture amendment (the overwhelming will of the people) in order to keep torture "on the table" is not something that many would happily defend. Warner, Graham, McCain, and Collins (may have been others I'm not recalling) came out against the "War Criminals Protection Act." The "compromise" they got was not much of one, it just shifted the responsibility for actually approving torture to Bush (as opposed to approving it themselves and becoming War Criminals). Specter dismissed the WH defense of the criminal surveillance program as absurd. There are some other "rational" Republicans (Snowe, Hagel, and Lugar).
Republicans will have a choice. Defend the indefensible or "get it over with" ASAP by pressuring Bush and Cheney to take the resignation "
http://journals.democraticunderground.com/pat_k/12">exit strategy." Given the public's growing dismay at the arrogant, irresponsible, and autocratic Bush-Cheney White House, Republicans may be more than happy to be rid of them.
Whatever the expected outcome, to fail to accuse is tantamount to exoneration. For Members of the House, the choice is clear: Duty or Complicity. They must just do their duty, one step at a time. Their their decision to bring charges cannot be based on how long they think it will take to vote out articles or on what they believe will happen in the Senate. As in Watergate, voting articles out of committee may be enough to motivate Bush and Cheney to resign.