Do you live in a truly competitive House District?

[Clarkie1]

[WI_DEM]

1. Secure--Tammy Baldwin, 2nd district of WI, includes Madison.

but we will still need to work hard to get a big turnout in Madison to help save Gov. Doyle.

[Clarkie1]

2. So far the results are trending as I expected...this will be interesting.

[BOSSHOG]

3. A secure democrat in South Mississippi? Absolutely!

Rep Gene Taylor, (D), Coast Guard Vet, Republican Ass Kicker. The smallest percentage he has ever gotten is 58%. In the last election he beat a Lott with more than 60% of the vote. He ain't no flaming liberal but he is a dem. One of my Taylor quotes after the Hurricane last summer.

We should have a national registry for insurance company executives like we have for sex offenders so we'll know if one lives next door. He wasn't happy with the work of the insurance companies after katrina.

[eyesroll]

4. You forgot "open seat, but will go Dem," "Open seat, but will go Rep,"

and "open seat, but up for grabs."

I'm in a safe D seat.

[Clarkie1]

5. Thanks...editing now. n/t

[marmar]

6. Secure for Democrat Dale Kildee in this part of Michigan...

although my relatively well-to-do suburb is probably the reddest part of his district. :)

[mitchtv]

7. they keep saying my CD is "safe" puke

I think it is going to be very close this time, due to the MexAm vote, and the large bay area crowd. CA45-Bono. I marked serious challenge, but I am going against conventional wisdom.

[marmar]

10. There's a part of the Bay Area that's not blue?

Donde esta?

[mitchtv]

14. Oh no , I mean we have a lot of Immigrants from

the Bay Area, CD45 is Palm Springs. BTW, Contra Costa is barely blue with a Dino rep -Tauscher

[marmar]

16. I see...

Hopefully you'll be able to blue up Palm Springs.

[Gormy Cuss]

26. Bay area seat CA -11 is red, and CA-10 is purple.

CA-11 is Richard Pombo(R-Tracy) and it's not at all certain that voters will be willing to replace him with a Dem. CA-10, Ellen Tauscher (D-Alamo) is safer every term but that's largely because the most conservative areas of her district were handed to Pombo in the last redistricting and she's a DLCer.

[acmejack]

8. We are going to throw Lamar Smith, Tom Delay's next door neighbor (TX21)

out on his republiCon ass! * needs a brain, Cheney needs a heart, & Congress needs Courage, John Courage for Congress!

[maveric]

9. Freep happy East San Diego county = Duncan Hunter.

Freeps and fundies love this guy and I cant see him losing his seat via election.
Now if they can get some dirt on Duncan like they did with his repig butt-buddy Cunningham....

[existentialist]

11. Competitive District?

I really don't know. Two years ago this was a very competitive district. The Democratic won, but a very centrist Democrat who has been disappointing. If. however, she can't win re-election this year given the disasters of the Republicans, then we are all in huge trouble.

The District is South Dakota's first and only congressional district. I guess I'm go to go back and vote that she's in a safe district. I hope so; this year at least, I do think she can carry South Dakota again.

[AllieB]

12. Nope. I'm from Massachusetts.

[Debi]

13. Iowa's First Congressional District - being vacated by Jim Nussle

of "I make the budget that gouges the poor" fame. (The asshole is running for Governor...God help us all in Iowa).

Three republicans running in a primary and three Democrats running in a primary.

The District trends barely Democratic but the bastid Nussle snuck in during redistricting in 2002 and we just couldn't shake him.

Democratic year?!!! Any of the three Democrats would be just fine in the seat!

:bounce:

Go Iowa!!!

[Warpy]

15. Heather Wilson has GOT to GO

She's one of the darlings of the far right and has won by the skin of her teeth in the last two elections and due to massive fraud in 2004.

She's got a really strong opponent this time and the state has gone to paper ballots.

I'll be so happy to kick her skinny butt out of office my feet won't touch the ground for a week.

I'm sure she'll never return to this state and will quickly be snapped up by one of the more pernicious lobbying outfits on K Street.

[cali]

17. Vermont

and yes, it's entirely possible that repub Martha Rainville could beat dem Peter Welch.

[TheFarseer]

18. Lee Terry is safe

His opponent's campaign consists completely of painting his logo on bus stop benches. It completely depleted his war chest of eleven dollars and forty two cents he got from recycling donated aluminum cans (I'm guessing on that part) I hope there are debates so at least he might get a look from some people.

[pat_k]

19. EVERY district is competitive. . .

If you think 60% Repub / 40% Dem is impossible odds, think again.

Every candidate has a tactical nuke in their pocket, whether they realize it or not:

Impeachment

Check out http://january6th.org/impeachment_candidates.html

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------

In EVERY so-called red district, there are people who sit out electons because (1) the candidate I like will lose anyway, or (2) the Dem candidates run as a Repub lite, and therefore inspire NO ONE.

There are simple ways to turn a red district blue.

Just go door to door and TALK to people. Not about Dems. Not about Repubs. No need to "sell" anything. Just ask them what their concerns are. Ask them if they are registered. Hand out a registration form. Give them info on Primary and General Elections dates. That's it.

See how it worked (and is working) in NH

http://www.truthout.org/docs_2006/030606J.shtml

People who have been sitting out elections are FAR more likely to vote Dem then Republican.

Individuals and small groups can have BIG impact. You can start today by finding out where the boundaries of your precinct are (local Dems should be able to tell you) and making a commitment to find ways to boost turn out in your precinct by 10 or 20%. Do that, and you turn the Republican margin into a Democratic margin.

Or, if you're not up to a shoe leather campaign, you can help Democratic candidate(s) to become truly inspiring candidates by lobbying them to defend the Consent of the Governed -- the principle on which our Constitution was founded -- by coming out strong for Censure/Impeachment and believable elections.

[Clarkie1]

28. I appreciate that, but unfortunately gerrymandering is very real, too. n/t

[Blue_In_AK]

20. I fear that Don Young is secure...

...although I wish somebody would do a little more digging into his connections with Abramoff. He's such a pompous arrogrant asshole, but he's been down there 30 years, so he may be a bad habit Alaska can't break.

[riderinthestorm]

21. Hyde's Dist - Illinois 6, Duckworth vs. Roskam

The primary was a fight. I can't even imagine what this summer is going to be like between Tammy Duckworth who is backed by virtually every important Dem in the US (Durbin, Obama, Rahm Emmanuel just to name the Illinois Dems who are behind her), and Pete Roskam who just had Dick Cheney fly in for a fundraiser!

It's gonna be an intense summer.

[geniph]

22. WA District 8

and Darcy Burner is gonna kick Dave Reichert's butt to the curb!

[Terran1212]

23. NO DISTRICT shouldn't be "competitive"

I believe in democracy and unless things are perfect you should always replace your representative with someone who is better for the times and better reflects your district. Few districts I think have people who truly stand up for all of their people's needs and desires.

[Idioteque]

24. FL-10...Once Bill Young (R) retires, it will be very competititve...

...until then, it's safe (R).

[ceile]

25. Secure Dem -Lloyd Doggett

I think he'll continue to win until he retires. Although now that his district runs all the way to the border, I guess things could change....

[RB TexLa]

27. I live in LA-5 and TX -32 both safe GOP

[Beware the Beast Man]

29. Fortunately, no. Stephanie Tubbs-Jones ran unopposed in '04,

and I don't think anyone is trying to usurp her this year, either.