If it comes to a shooting war ...

[NNN0LHI]

http://www.atimes.com/atimes/China/HD20Ad03.html

If it comes to a shooting war ...
By Victor N Corpus
Apr 20, 2006


Victor N Corpus is a retired brigadier general. He has a master's degree in public administration from the Kennedy School of Government, Harvard University. His major assignment while serving in the armed forces of the Philippines was as chief of the intelligence service.


One could call this article a worst-case scenario for the new American century. Why worst case? Because of the hard lessons from history. The Romans did not consider the worst-case scenario when Hannibal crossed the Alps with his elephants and routed them; or when Hannibal encircled and annihilated the numerically superior Roman army at the Battle of Cannae.

The French did not consider the worst-case scenario at Dien Bien Phu and when they built the Maginot Line, and the French suffered disastrous defeats. The Americans did not consider the
worst-case scenario at Pearl Harbor or on September 11, and the results were disastrous for the American people. Again, American planners did not consider the worst-case scenario in its latest war in Iraq, but instead operated on the "best-case scenario", such as considering the Iraq invasion a "cake walk" and that the Iraqi people would be parading in the streets, throwing flowers and welcoming American soldiers as "liberators", only to discover the opposite.

Scenario One: America launches 'preventive war' vs China

Our first objective is to prevent the re-emergence of a new rival. This is a dominant consideration underlying the new regional defense strategy and requires that we endeavor to prevent any hostile power from dominating a region whose resources would, under consolidated control, be sufficient to generate global power. These regions include Western Europe, East Asia, the territory of the former Soviet Union and Southwest Asia.

–Paul Wolfowitz, former US deputy secretary of defense and currently president of the World Bank

Consider these snapshots of China:

[obxhead]

1. kick.....

your post got me on a great LTTE rant....

Watch for the future post :)

[Mythsaje]

2. China would kick our ass...

These nitwits are afraid of N. Korea... China is to N. Korea what we are to Mexico.

[tocqueville]

3. one of the most interesting things in this article

is that the US, despite being aware of its military weaknesses, CANNOT do anything about it (or with great difficulties) because the industrial lobby would lose.... money...

one can ask the rethorical question : is such a "system" sustainable for the survival of a nation ?

[acmejack]

4. Nice propaganda piece

The author makes many good points, however his bias is showing. I suggest our Fleet would not be quite so easy to take out, despite the writer's wishes. Our trillions have bought us something besides expensive targets. Our problems would arise in our ability to quickly repair and replenish our losses. We have absolutely no such capability to do so any longer, remember when they could build a ship a week?

[Oversea Visitor]

5. The chinese mindset is very different

They do not see use of force as the ultimate solution. Rather as the last option on the table.
Guess to much Confucius and Sun Tzu.... :rofl:

In this scenario they would fight on a different battleground.

The battleground here will be ECONOMIC

China has more than superior advantahe here they have total advantage

1) US 9 trillion in debt versus China HUGE surplus
2) US lots of asset in China versus Chian holding US balls too with bonds
3) US no friends all bankers versus China all friends and friendly banker to them
4) US shout sanction china ( total silence) versus China whisper US dollar we throw

Of course you got 10,000 nuke
What you want to do with it COMMIT SUCIDE
Gee wake up to reality bush you dug hole all the way to china now. After that it is totally bottomless until you hit the next planet.

[acmejack]

6. I agree

I have long said that we shall be defeated without a shot being fired. And it has been done.

[NNN0LHI]

7. He was simply trying to consider a worst case scenario

Something the people running this country would never consider doing.

My motto has always been to hope for the best, but expect the worst.

That has worked out well for me so far.

Don