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Public Gives Clinton Best Odds of Being Elected President

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DemocratSinceBirth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-02-07 06:30 AM
Original message
Public Gives Clinton Best Odds of Being Elected President
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DemocratSinceBirth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-02-07 06:52 AM
Response to Original message
1. That's Interesting For Somebody "Unelectable"
DSB
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MethuenProgressive Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-02-07 07:01 AM
Response to Original message
2. "More than 8 in 10 say she has excellent or good chance of being elected"
That's odd. No one on DU knows anyone who likes her.













:rofl:
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DemocratSinceBirth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-02-07 07:04 AM
Response to Reply #2
3. You Notice How "Inconvenient Truths" Are Ignored Here
DSB
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shadowknows69 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-02-07 07:19 AM
Response to Reply #3
4. Gallup never called me
I'm in New York and I can't find anyone that likes her.
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DemocratSinceBirth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-02-07 07:27 AM
Response to Reply #4
5. I have A Simple Explanation
You can go to your local community college, take Statistics 101, and ask your lecturer what is the difference between a probability sample and a non probability sample.
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Bobbieo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-02-07 07:37 AM
Response to Reply #5
6. I will vote for her if she is the nominee- I will vote for Obama if he is the nominee
and I will vote for Edwards if he is the nominee!!! Same goes for Jesus Christ and Al Gore but I would like to see Richarson go for his state's senate seat.
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DemocratSinceBirth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-02-07 07:38 AM
Response to Reply #6
7. Richardson Would Be A Fine VP or Senator
DSB
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Beer Snob-50 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-02-07 07:41 AM
Response to Original message
8. i find it funny
that much of the same retoric used against bill is being used against hillary (flipflopper, secretive, tells you what you want to hear, ect)
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DemocratSinceBirth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-02-07 07:47 AM
Response to Reply #8
9. And That's Why
And that's why Bill Clinton is only one of three Democratic presidents in the entire twentieth century to serve two full terms as presidents...

Oh, I'll pre-empt the "pluraility" argument... The last Democrat to win the presidency before Clinton was Carter in 76 and he received 50.8% of the vote, Johnson recieved 62% of the vote in 64 and JFK received 49.7% of the vote in 1960... And you have to go back to FDR to find any Dem winning a landslide...
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Bobbieo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-02-07 07:57 AM
Response to Reply #8
10.  I am so GD tired of this infighting among our candidates
that I don't give a shit who gets the nomination, I'll just vote for the Democrat who wins. There are more important issues to tackle right now if there will even be elections next fall. Like how the hell we get rid of Bush to ensure there are elections next fall.
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karynnj Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-02-07 08:01 AM
Response to Original message
11. This is not surprising at all
They are being asked what they think the odds are. Anyone paying attention knows that, as it stands, HRC is the odds on favorite to get the Democratic nomination and that the Democrats are favored to win. It might have been more interesting to also ask the conditional question, If X gets the (Democratic, Republican) nomination, what do you think their odds are.

This might also be a time to ask a question of the form, "Think of your 10 closest friends or relatives, who do most of them prefer?" This moves the question from asking them to be a pundit, to reporting on who they are hearing favored.
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robcon Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-02-07 08:07 AM
Response to Original message
12. It's a little disingenuous to ask the public to handicap the election.
Why would we care whether the public knows what the "odds" are in the election?

I agree with the public that the next president will be Hillary Clinton, but this "poll" or "odds-making event" is a non-story, IMO.
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DemocratSinceBirth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-02-07 08:26 AM
Response to Reply #12
13. I Disagree...A Bit...
If you would have went to intrade where people put their money where there mouths are on the eve of Election 06 you would have found every candidate who was favored to win (money bet on) went on to win...

It's a bit different than betting on sporting events because there is no spread where the team you bet on can theoretically "lose" and "win"...
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Radio_Lady Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-02-07 08:35 AM
Response to Original message
14. Thanks for posting. K&R.
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DemocratSinceBirth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-02-07 09:09 AM
Response to Reply #14
15. You Are Welcome, Radio_Lady
I consider it a public service.
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