Blackhatjack
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Sat Jan-05-08 02:28 AM
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IF HRC finishes 3rd in N.H., Nev, and S.C., Is She Done?? |
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Obviously she needs to 'breakthrough' in one of the next 3 races.
And if so, where would her supporters go? Edwards or Obama?
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SeattleGirl
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Sat Jan-05-08 02:29 AM
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1. Not per the MSM, who is steadfastly ignoring Edwards. |
David Dunham
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Sat Jan-05-08 02:31 AM
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2. She will finish at least 1 or 2 in all those states. JE will be third. |
ingac70
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Sat Jan-05-08 03:24 AM
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7. IN SC? Fat chance. n/t. |
MrSlayer
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Sat Jan-05-08 02:48 AM
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3. If she finishes third in all three states she'll be on the ropes. |
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But she is counting on the big states on super duper tuesday. Winning several of those states can resurrect her.
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killbotfactory
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Sat Jan-05-08 02:50 AM
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4. She has a lot of money |
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Edited on Sat Jan-05-08 02:50 AM by killbotfactory
She'll last until super Tuesday.
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Indi Guy
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Sat Jan-05-08 02:58 AM
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5. She's not "done" until the MSM say's she is... |
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...and they say that she can come in second in NH, and still be viable.
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OHdem10
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Sat Jan-05-08 03:07 AM
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6. HRC has the most staying power of all candidates. |
silverojo
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Sat Jan-05-08 04:15 AM
Response to Reply #6 |
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That's why she couldn't even finish in the top 2 in Iowa, where she outspent Edwards by a country mile.
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Redbear
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Sat Jan-05-08 05:00 AM
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9. I think she will stay in a long time. |
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I support John Edwards, but I think Sen. Clinton is still the most likely nominee. She remains the establishment candidate.
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aquart
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Sat Jan-05-08 05:02 AM
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10. Why? Is she out of money? |
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NH, Nevada, and South Carolina do NOT speak for ME. Are you saying I should not have a chance to vote for my candidate? HOW DARE YOU.
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Blackhatjack
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Sat Jan-05-08 10:48 AM
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12. Hmmm... I did not hear anyone say that on this thread. Did you dream it up? |
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I don't get the logic of your conclusion -- that someone is "saying I should not have a chance to vote for my candidate?"
As far as I can tell you may vote for any candidate you prefer.
Your 'HOW DARE YOU' is a bit dramatic and uncalled for since no one has made such an allegation.
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Blackhatjack
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Sat Jan-05-08 10:28 AM
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11. The OP sets up the premise of 3rd place finishes happening, it doesn't ask IF she will finish 3rd... |
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Hillary is sitting on a wad of cash, no doubt about it.
But this thread is about a stated set of results, and what you think that would mean for the viability of her campaign.
Just wanted to clear that up since the responses seem to be whether she will finish 3rd or not in those races.
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upi402
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Sat Jan-05-08 10:49 AM
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13. She had the $$$ and the machine and failed to win.... even women |
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didn't back her. She's toast. Especially if she goes negative.
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robcon
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Sat Jan-05-08 10:51 AM
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14. She'd be almost done. |
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I depends on the bigs states like CA and NY, and she'd be almost dependent on an open convention to win.
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salin
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Sat Jan-05-08 10:54 AM
Response to Original message |
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Edited on Sat Jan-05-08 10:56 AM by salin
and unless the polls have changed dramatically, she had such a big lead in NH that even with a big momentum increase for Obama (and/or Edwards) should not be able to fully erase her 20+% lead.
But if she were to leave the race, I have no idea where her supporters would go. There is a bit of animisty (sp) building up.
On Edit: Adding - I just saw the latest Zogby polls - and I have over stated the lead she has in NH- could be far more up in the air than my first sentence suggests.
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Blackhatjack
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Sat Jan-05-08 11:04 AM
Response to Reply #15 |
17. 'Big Leads' in Polls Make 'Big Falls' Possible in Elections.... |
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Any political strategist will tell you that if they had a choice, they would rather be backing a candidate cresting a few percentage points behind the leader in an election if that leader has experienced a big fall in their lead in the weeks and days before the election.
A candidate trending up and just behind the leader a few days before the election is a strong candidate, and the loss of a big lead means there will likely be fewer voters added to the candidate's column on election day.
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Tierra_y_Libertad
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Sat Jan-05-08 11:02 AM
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CorpGovActivist
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Sat Jan-05-08 01:02 PM
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