Let's begin the election predictions (even though it;'s still two months away)

[Suji to Seoul]

Electoral-vote.com is a great site and has my hopes up a bit. I take more stock in state by state polls rather than nationwide.

BTW, my uneducated opinion (getting my PhD in Poli Sci here in Seoul) is the following:

Pick up 20 - 25 in the House.

Win the following states
OR - Gordon "Mr 90% with Bush" Smith
CO - Open (Allard retiring)
NM - Open (Domenici retiring)
NH - John "Deep dudu" Sununu
MN - Norm "Wellstone would have destroyed him" Coleman
AK - Ted "Series of Tubes" Stevens
NC - Liddy "Aren't I From Kansas" Dole
VA - Open (Warner retiring)
ME - Susan "I lied about serving only two terms" Collins

And I believe we'll do well in MS (Trent's seat) and Georgia, because Saxby "Veteran hater" Chambliss isn't polling so hot.

Both Johnson and Landrieu survive. That makes the Senate, if I am right, 58 - 40 - 2, with Lieberman and Sanders and independents. We kick out Joe Lieberman, it's 58 - 41 - 1. With Sanders, it's 58 - 42. Now, I believe we'll need one more for veto proof. I believe that will come in the Olympia Snowe of Maine, who is actually a RINO on many issues. However, if we get MS or GA (or even both), the whole idea is pointless and Snowe won't matter.

Ideal: 60 - 38 - 2. Kick out Joementum and it's 60 - 39 - 1. With Sanders, it's 61 - 39. Maybe we can get Snowe to jump ship like Jeffords did in his term and Chafee did after he lost.

Personally, I'd like to see John Cornyn go down too, but I don't see that happening to Rick Noriega.

I see McLame only picking up Texas as a big state and Obama winning over 330 EVs. I see FL and OH turning blue!

Anyone disagree?

[griffi94]

1. i'm only following the senate race here in texas

i hate cornyn, but like you i think it's a real long shot for noriega.
as for texas being the only big state mccain wins, i disagree. i think mccain will hold ohio and florida.
not sure how colorado will go but i expect it will break for mccain by a slim margin.

[norepubsin08]

2. I disagree

Florida is way too crooked...It will go red, but I think you're right with Ohio. I see it as a 303 electoral vote win for Obama.